MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
Wait for pullback to $10.07. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.30. Engine's entry $10.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).
MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through two segments: Mortgage-Related Assets and Lima One. The Mortgage-Related Assets segment primarily invests in and manages a diversified... Read more
Wait for pullback to $10.07. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.30. Engine's entry $10.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $10.07. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $10.30. Engine's entry $10.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $13.14 (+27.6%), stop $9.72 (−6.0%), Setup A.R:R 8.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $13.14 (+29.6% upside). Target $13.14 (+27.6%), stop $9.72 (−6.0%), Setup A.R:R 8.7:1. Stop-loss: $9.72.
Near 52-week high (2.4% away).
MFA Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
10 analysts cover MFA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $15.
What does MFA Financial, Inc. do?MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States....
MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. It operates through two segments: Mortgage-Related Assets and Lima One. The Mortgage-Related Assets segment primarily invests in and manages a diversified portfolio of residential whole loans, including nonqualified mortgage loans, business purpose loans such as single-family rental loans, single-family and multifamily transitional loans, legacy re-performing and non-performing loans, and agency-eligible investor loans. This segment also invests in residential mortgage-backed securities, including agency MBS, non-agency MBS, and credit risk transfer securities. The Lima One segment includes a stand-alone mortgage origination and servicing business; and originates and services business purpose loans for real estate investors, and related mortgage banking activities. The company offers residential whole loans, including purchased credit deteriorated and non-performing loans; and mortgage servicing rights-related assets. The company's investment activities through a combination of securitization transactions, term loan warehouse financing and repurchase agreement financing. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is based in New York, New York.