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KFRCKforce, Inc.Sell4.8·$52.90-2.76%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kforce shows excellent underlying quality with a 27% return on equity and strong cash conversion, and a technical breakout with a golden cross, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with an implied -29.3% downside to fair value and a negative asymmetry gate, leaving guidance to consider reducing the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Reached Limited UpsideStable
  • Excellent Roe Cash QualityStable
  • Negative Asymmetry GateStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kforce, Inc. (KFRC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.9% away).

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective... Read more

$52.90+2.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#6 of 9 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.43%
IncomeYield3.10%(5y avg 2.62%)Payout79.70%
Stop $49.20Target $53.96(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$42.33-20.0%3 analysts
$53.96our TP
$52.90price
$42.33mean
$38

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.9% away)
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$900M
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE27.1%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.89
Dividend3.10%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
2.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.1
Growth Rank
4.4
Quality Rank
7.2
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.68Resistance $55.06

Price Targets

$49
$54
A.Upside+2.0%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-32.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KFRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.90 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-2.9% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $49.20. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KFRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.96 (+2.0% upside). Prior stop was $49.20. Stop-loss: $49.20.

What are the risks of investing in KFRC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.9% away); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is KFRC overvalued or undervalued?

Kforce, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KFRC?

12 analysts cover KFRC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Kforce, Inc. do?Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in...

Over time, our service offerings have expanded beyond traditional staffing to include solutions-oriented engagements in response to evolving client demand. Clients continue to prioritize efficient access to specialized talent and view our solutions offering as a cost-effective means for advancing their technology initiatives.

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