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TNETTriNet Group, Inc.Sell5.0·$47.38-0.92%
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TriNet Group, Inc. (TNET) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Staffing & Employment Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5.

TriNet is a leading provider of HR solutions for SMBs. We offer technology-enabled services that include human capital expertise, employee benefits such as health insurance and retirement plans, payroll and payroll tax administration, risk mitigation, and compliance consulting.... Read more

$47.38+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 4 Staffing & Employment Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield11.59%
IncomeYield2.45%Payout32.99%sustainable
Stop $44.06Target $48.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$51.80+9.3%5 analysts
$48.51our TP
$47.38price
$51.80mean
$70

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE217.8%
Rev Growth-4.9%
Beta1.00
Dividend2.45%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$80+68.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.1
Support Resistance
2.2
Bollinger
2.8

Revenue shrinking — -4.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.3
Earnings Growth
4.1
Declining revenue: -5%
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.70Resistance $49.50

Price Targets

$44
$49
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TNET stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.38 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $44.06. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TNET stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.51 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $44.06. Stop-loss: $44.06.

What are the risks of investing in TNET?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 11.4): -1.5; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is TNET overvalued or undervalued?

TriNet Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TNET?

13 analysts cover TNET with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $52.

What does TriNet Group, Inc. do?TriNet is a leading provider of HR solutions for SMBs. We offer technology-enabled services that include human capital...

TriNet is a leading provider of HR solutions for SMBs. We offer technology-enabled services that include human capital expertise, employee benefits such as health insurance and retirement plans, payroll and payroll tax administration, risk mitigation, and compliance consulting. Our long-term objective is to be the premier provider of HR services for a broad range of SMBs through industry-leading benefits, sales distribution excellence, and a world-class services delivery model.

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