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KEPKorea Electric Power CorporatioSell5.4·$12.05-2.74%
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Korea Electric Power Corporatio (KEP) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).

Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electricity Sales, Nuclear Power Generation, Thermal Power... Read more

$12.05+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield33916.99%
IncomeYield4.32%(5y avg 2.91%)Payout11.08%sustainable
Stop $11.52Target $13.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$16.00+32.8%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.8
P/E (Fwd)3.1
Mkt Cap$15.5B
EV/EBITDA4.8
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE18.7%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta0.78
Dividend4.32%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV67%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.7
Earnings Growth
3.4

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume
7.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.88Resistance $14.83

Price Targets

$12
$14
A.Upside+12.9%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KEP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $12.05 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.52. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KEP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $13.60 (+12.7% upside). Prior stop was $11.52. Stop-loss: $11.52.

What are the risks of investing in KEP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is KEP overvalued or undervalued?

Korea Electric Power Corporatio trades at a P/E of 2.8 (forward 3.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KEP?

28 analysts cover KEP with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Korea Electric Power Corporatio do?Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and...

Korea Electric Power Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Electricity Sales, Nuclear Power Generation, Thermal Power Generation, Power Support, and Other. It builds and operates overhead and underground transmission power grids; offers digital substations, grid stabilization equipment, and predictive diagnostic system; high voltage direct current transmission; distribution network construction, distributed energy, and smart distribution network; power outage prevention, insulated sticks, and scheduled power shutdowns; and smart metering service. The company also engages in electricity sale and demand management; electric vehicle charging; microgrid; urban energy planning platform; solar power generation projects; and clean hydrogen businesses, as well as research and development. In addition, it is involved in thermal, nuclear, wind, solar, and hydro power generation; power grid consulting/EPC projects; HVDC submarine transmission; power plant engineering and maintenance; nuclear fuel design and manufacturing; power IT services; investment activities; coal ash industrial materials resource manufacturing; facility management and service; wood pellet utilization; and securitization. The company was formerly known as Korea Electric Company and changed its name to Korea Electric Power Corporation in January 1982. Korea Electric Power Corporation was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Naju-si, South Korea.

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