KB Home (KBH) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.09; Below-average business quality.
KB Home is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating in 9 states and 49 markets primarily serving first-time and first move-up buyers through a Built to Order approach. Homebuilding accounts for 99.6% of 2025 revenues, with operations concentrated in California, Florida,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-14Recent Developments — KB Home
Latest news
- NEWS Truist Securities Maintains Hold on KB Home, Lowers Price Target to $50 — benzinga May 4, 2026 negative
- NEWS KB Home Robert R. Dillard Resigns As CFO Effective May 8, 2026 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS Evercore ISI Group Maintains In-Line on KB Home, Raises Price Target to $54 — benzinga Apr 13, 2026 positive
- NEWS This Lennar Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Tuesday — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative
- NEWS Seaport Global Downgrades KB Home to Sell, Lowers Price Target to $43 — benzinga Apr 7, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia, Florida, Nevada and Texas10-K Item 1A: 'our business is presently concentrated in California, Florida, Nevada and Texas'
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1A: 'We generate the highest proportion of our revenues from and make significant inventory investments in our California operations.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-01Item 5.02HIGHCFO Robert R. Dillard resigned effective May 8, 2026. No successor named. Departure not related to any disagreement with KB Home or its financial or accounting policies.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-26Item 5.02MEDIUMAmendment discloses Robert McGibney's compensation as new President and CEO (effective March 1, 2026); Jeffrey Mezger transitions to Executive Chairman. Clean CEO succession with named successor.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -22.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.09; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Prior stop was $50.84. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $53.81 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $50.84. Stop-loss: $50.84.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Florida, Nevada and Texas; Concentration risk — Geographic: California; Target reached (-11.1% upside).
KB Home trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover KBH with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $55.
What does KB Home do?KB Home is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating in 9 states and 49 markets primarily serving first-time and...
KB Home is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating in 9 states and 49 markets primarily serving first-time and first move-up buyers through a Built to Order approach. Homebuilding accounts for 99.6% of 2025 revenues, with operations concentrated in California, Florida, Nevada, and Texas. The company owned or controlled 64,612 lots at November 30, 2025.