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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $228.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine (oncology, immunology, neuroscience, pulmonary hypertension, HIV, cardiovascular) and MedTech. Employs approximately 138,200 people worldwide; approximately 43% of... Read more

$228.69+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $219.16Target $239.32(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$252.42+10.4%24 analysts
$239.32our TP
$228.69price
$252.42mean
$155
$285

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $228.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft fda negative. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)18.1
Mkt Cap$553.3B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn21.8%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta0.33
Dividend2.33%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.81neutral
IV35%normal
Max Pain$125-45.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT FDA NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $223.78Resistance $244.20

Price Targets

$219
$239
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 4.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-15 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JNJ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $228.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $239.32 (+4.6%), stop $219.16 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JNJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $239.32 (+4.6% upside). Target $239.32 (+4.6%), stop $219.16 (−4.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $219.16.

What are the risks of investing in JNJ?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is JNJ overvalued or undervalued?

Johnson & Johnson trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 18.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JNJ?

32 analysts cover JNJ with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $252.

What does Johnson & Johnson do?Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine...

Johnson & Johnson researches, manufactures, and sells healthcare products through two segments: Innovative Medicine (oncology, immunology, neuroscience, pulmonary hypertension, HIV, cardiovascular) and MedTech. Employs approximately 138,200 people worldwide; approximately 43% of 2025 sales occurred outside the U.S., with ~23% in Europe and 15% in Asia-Pacific and Africa.

Related stocks: LLY (Eli Lilly and Company) · GSK (GSK plc) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC)