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Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%).

Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience, operating in a single segment. It sells products globally with 69% of revenues from the United States in 2025, generating $48.2... Read more

$58.66+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
Stop $55.76Target $59.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$63.04+7.5%25 analysts
$59.56our TP
$58.66price
$63.04mean
$40
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$123.7B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn15.0%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta
Dividend4.16%
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.12bearish
IV35%normal
Max Pain$72+22.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States69%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States| 69 | %| | 71 | %| | 69 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Earnings Growth
3.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $57.22Resistance $60.78

Price Targets

$56
$60
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BMY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $58.66 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $55.76. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BMY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.56 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $55.76. Stop-loss: $55.76.

What are the risks of investing in BMY?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (69.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.2): -1.5.

Is BMY overvalued or undervalued?

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BMY?

36 analysts cover BMY with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Bristol-Myers Squibb Company do?Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology,...

Bristol-Myers Squibb discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines across oncology, hematology, immunology, cardiovascular, and neuroscience, operating in a single segment. It sells products globally with 69% of revenues from the United States in 2025, generating $48.2 billion in total revenues.

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