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LLYEli Lilly and CompanyHold6.5·$1140.47-1.76%
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Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1140.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling in ~90 countries through wholesalers and healthcare providers. Key products span cardiometabolic (Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance), oncology (Verzenio,... Read more

$1140.47+2.3% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 16 Drug Manufacturers - General
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.91%
IncomeYield0.61%(5y avg 0.89%)Payout22.13%sustainable
Stop $1053.69Target $1159.08(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$1215.79+6.6%29 analysts
$1159.08our TP
$1140.47price
$1215.79mean
$850
$1500

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1140.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.75, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: conservative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.3
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$1.01T
EV/EBITDA28.9
Profit Mgn35.0%
ROE107.5%
Rev Growth55.5%
Beta0.52
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.02bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$1290+13.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.7
Pe
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Forward Pe
4.9
Peg Ratio
5.0
Forward P/E: 25.5xPEG: 1.52
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.75EARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Conservative
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $978.87Resistance $1182.73

Price Targets

$1054
$1159
A.Upside+1.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LLY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $1140.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $1159.08 (+1.6%), stop $1053.69 (−8.2%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1159.08 (+2.3% upside). Target $1159.08 (+1.6%), stop $1053.69 (−8.2%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $1053.69.

What are the risks of investing in LLY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is LLY overvalued or undervalued?

Eli Lilly and Company trades at a P/E of 40.3 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LLY?

39 analysts cover LLY with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $1216.

What does Eli Lilly and Company do?Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling...

Eli Lilly discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals globally in a single business segment, selling in ~90 countries through wholesalers and healthcare providers. Key products span cardiometabolic (Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance), oncology (Verzenio, Kyprolis), immunology (Taltz, Olumiant), and neuroscience; six products collectively accounted for 82% of total revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) · GILD (Gilead Sciences, Inc.) · AZN (AstraZeneca PLC) · BMY (Bristol-Myers Squibb Company) · AMGN (Amgen Inc.)
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