Skip to main content
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.Sell5.7·$62.55+1.44%
Open full analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Jefferies is a U.S.-headquartered global investment banking and capital markets firm providing advisory, underwriting, equities, fixed income, and asset management services to public companies, private companies, institutional investors, and government entities. With 7,787... Read more

$62.55-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#26 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.59%(5y avg 2.85%)Payout53.69%sustainable
Stop $58.57Target $62.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$62.17-0.6%6 analysts
$62.18our TP
$62.55price
$62.17mean
$50
$87

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(6), semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jun 24, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Recent Analyst Cluster(6) detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.7
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$12.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE
Rev Growth26.6%
Beta
Dividend2.59%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.60bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$20-68.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $50.81Resistance $63.45

Price Targets

$59
$62
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-24 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JEF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Prior stop was $58.57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JEF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.18 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $58.57. Stop-loss: $58.57.

What are the risks of investing in JEF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is JEF overvalued or undervalued?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.7 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JEF?

10 analysts cover JEF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $62.

What does Jefferies Financial Group Inc. do?Jefferies is a U.S.-headquartered global investment banking and capital markets firm providing advisory, underwriting,...

Jefferies is a U.S.-headquartered global investment banking and capital markets firm providing advisory, underwriting, equities, fixed income, and asset management services to public companies, private companies, institutional investors, and government entities. With 7,787 employees distributed 50% Americas, 36% EMEA, and 14% Asia-Pacific, it generates revenues from transaction fees, trading spreads, and asset management. SMBC Group owns approximately 15.7% of common stock on an as-converted basis.

Related stocks: FUTU (Futu Holdings Limited) · VIRT (Virtu Financial, Inc.) · EVR (Evercore Inc.) · MRX (Marex Group plc) · BGC (BGC Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks JEF

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga10h ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga3d agoAnalyst
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga6d ago
Benzinga7d agoAnalyst
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga31d ago
Benzinga31d ago
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga38d ago
Benzinga42d ago
Benzinga53d ago
Benzinga62d agoAnalyst
Benzinga69d ago