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JBLUJetBlue Airways CorporationSell3.7·$5.01+0.60%
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JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft and ~23,000 employees. Revenue is earned through ticket fares, ancillary services (EvenMore, Mint), and the TrueBlue loyalty program, with 95% of... Read more

$5.01+9.2% A.UpsideScore 3.7/10#12 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-58.92%
Stop $4.66Target $5.47(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$4.95-1.3%16 analysts
$5.47our TP
$5.01price
$4.95mean
$2
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — JetBlue Airways Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market
Concentration risk — Supplier: Pratt & Whitney
Target reached (-11.1% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-6.9
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA36.9
Profit Mgn-7.8%
ROE-33.5%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.75
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV93%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCaribbean & Latin America37%
    10-K Item 1: 'Caribbean & Latin America (1)| | 36.5 | | | 35.9 | | | 33.2 |'
  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan market
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend greatly on the New York metropolitan market'
  • HIGHSupplierPratt & Whitney
    10-K Item 1: 'In July 2023, Pratt & Whitney, a division of RTX Corporation, announced the requirement, mandated by the FAA, for removal of certain engines for inspection'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Current Ratio
2.8
Moat
3.1
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 5.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.3
Beta
4.2
Put Call
5.5
Days To Cover
8.0
High short interest justified: 22%High IV: 93%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
8.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.35Resistance $5.58

Price Targets

$5
$5
A.Upside+9.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (0.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBLU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.01: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $4.66. Score 3.7/10, high confidence.

What is the JBLU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.47 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $4.66. Stop-loss: $4.66.

What are the risks of investing in JBLU?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan market; Concentration risk — Supplier: Pratt & Whitney; Target reached (-11.1% upside).

Is JBLU overvalued or undervalued?

JetBlue Airways Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBLU?

24 analysts cover JBLU with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $5.

What does JetBlue Airways Corporation do?JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with...

JetBlue is a U.S. airline serving 112 destinations across the U.S., Caribbean, Latin America, Canada, and Europe with 288 aircraft and ~23,000 employees. Revenue is earned through ticket fares, ancillary services (EvenMore, Mint), and the TrueBlue loyalty program, with 95% of routes touching one of six focus cities. Caribbean & Latin America represents 36.5% of 2025 capacity, Florida 25.4%, and Transcontinental 26.0%.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · AERO (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · SKYW (SkyWest, Inc.)
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