Allegiant Travel screens cheaply at a forward earnings multiple of about 9x and a PEG of 0.28, but free cash flow is currently negative as a percentage of revenue and overall quality has fallen materially below any investment-grade threshold; a 7.2% gap higher adds technical overextension risk, and the reward-to-risk geometry remains unfavorable — making patience the prudent posture while fundamentals improve.
Thesis pillars
- Cheap Valuation Multiples→Stable
- Negative Free Cash Flow Quality Concern→Stable
- Lumpy Earnings Delivery↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.26: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. Our vision is to be the leading airline in the communities we serve, offering reliable, nonstop travel at unbeatable value. We... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.26: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Allegiant Travel Company
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 23, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Allegiant Travel Company | | | | | | (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nevada | | 001-33166 | | 20-4745737 | | (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
Latest news
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Company Announces Resignation of Board Member Jude Bricker — fiscal.ai Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Company Exercises Options to Purchase Six Boeing 737-8 Aircraft — fiscal.ai Oct 23, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Says Allegiant Air Exercises Six Boeing 737-8 Options Under 2021 Purchase Agreement; Six Boeing 737-8 — benzinga Oct 23, 2026 positive
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Company Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call — fiscal.ai Oct 19, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Susquehanna Maintains Neutral on Allegiant Travel, Lowers Price Target to $85 — benzinga Oct 7, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-23Item 5.02MEDIUMAllegiant Travel Company | | | | | | (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nevada | | 001-33166 | | 20-4745737 | | (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.26: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Prior stop was $67.20. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $102.16 (+41.4% upside). Prior stop was $67.20. Stop-loss: $67.20.
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of 61.8 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $117.
What does Allegiant Travel Company do?We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of...
We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. Our vision is to be the leading airline in the communities we serve, offering reliable, nonstop travel at unbeatable value. We were founded in 1997 and, in conjunction with our initial public offering in 2006, we incorporated in the state of Nevada.