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ALGTAllegiant Travel CompanySell5.1·$91.59+6.45%
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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.59: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and... Read more

$91.59+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 12 Airlines
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.12%
Stop $85.18Target $91.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$100.73+10.0%11 analysts
$91.81our TP
$91.59price
$100.73mean
$85
$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.59: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-4.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn-1.3%
ROE-3.1%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV83%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.6
Roa
1.7
Moat
3.1
Current Ratio
3.6
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
5.9
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
2.5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.8
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.5

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.64Resistance $93.68

Price Targets

$85
$92
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $91.59: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $85.18. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.81 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $85.18. Stop-loss: $85.18.

What are the risks of investing in ALGT?

Target reached (-4.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is ALGT overvalued or undervalued?

Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGT?

17 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Allegiant Travel Company do?Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of...

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including larger seats, baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance from a third-party insurer; air transportation services; and charter services on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company owns and operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Related stocks: LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) · CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.) · AERO (Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V) · AAL (American Airlines Group, Inc.) · SKYW (SkyWest, Inc.)
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