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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.21; Below-average business quality.

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and... Read more

$77.28+13.8% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#7 of 12 Airlines
Stop $71.91Target $88.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$101.18+30.9%11 analysts
$88.03our TP
$77.28price
$101.18mean
$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.21; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn-1.3%
ROE
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.21bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
1.1
Short Interest
2.4
Debt Equity
3.5
Days To Cover
5.6
High short interest: 15%Elevated put/call: 2.21High IV: 74%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
0.8
Value Rank
5.0

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
5.9
No competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
6.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.08Resistance $95.72

Price Targets

$72
$88
A.Upside+13.9%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.28: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.21; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $71.91. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.03 (+13.8% upside). Prior stop was $71.91. Stop-loss: $71.91.

What are the risks of investing in ALGT?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is ALGT overvalued or undervalued?

Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGT?

17 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Allegiant Travel Company do?Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of...

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including larger seats, baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance from a third-party insurer; air transportation services; and charter services on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company owns and operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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