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ITRIItron, Inc.Sell4.9·$80.52-0.05%
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Itron, Inc. (ITRI) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $80.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, Resiliency Solutions), serving electric, gas, and water utilities globally. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in... Read more

$80.52+37.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 14 Scientific & Technical Instruments
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.42%
Stop $75.44Target $110.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$126.70+57.4%10 analysts
$110.23our TP
$80.52price
$126.70mean
$145

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $80.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn12.3%
ROE18.6%
Rev Growth-3.3%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$120+49.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers32%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our 10 largest customers in each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, accounted for approximately 32%, 33%, and 36% of total revenues.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
5.0
Value Rank
8.6
Attractive P/E vs peers
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $77.77Resistance $86.77

Price Targets

$75
$110
A.Upside+36.9%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $80.52 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $75.44. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.23 (+37.0% upside). Prior stop was $75.44. Stop-loss: $75.44.

What are the risks of investing in ITRI?

Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is ITRI overvalued or undervalued?

Itron, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITRI?

20 analysts cover ITRI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $127.

What does Itron, Inc. do?Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device...

Itron provides smart grid, energy/water management, and city services technology through four segments (Device Solutions, Networked Solutions, Outcomes, Resiliency Solutions), serving electric, gas, and water utilities globally. No single customer exceeded 10% of revenue in 2025; total backlog was $4.5B with top 10 customers representing ~32% of total revenues.

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