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LQDALiquidia CorporationSell5.2·$62.88-1.60%
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Liquidia Corporation (LQDA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Sell if holding. At $62.88, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606.

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH and PH-ILD in May 2025, and promoting Treprostinil Injection (generic parenteral treprostinil) under a profit-sharing arrangement with Sandoz. Revenue is... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.17%
Stop $59.53Target $65.44(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$66.13+5.2%8 analysts
$65.44our TP
$62.88price
$66.13mean
$59
$75

Sell if holding. At $62.88, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA
Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)375.9
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA121.1
Profit Mgn7.7%
ROE28.2%
Rev Growth4158.5%
Beta0.59
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV123%elevated
Max Pain$39-38.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductYUTREPIA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are primarily dependent on the success of YUTREPIA, for which we recently received FDA approval for the treatment of PAH and PH-ILD'
  • HIGHpipelineL606
    10-K Item 1A: 'our planned pivotal clinical trial of L606, may not be successful and delays in such preclinical studies or clinical trials may cause our costs to increase'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle suppliers for YUTREPIA active ingredient, device, encapsulation and packaging
    10-K Item 1A: 'single suppliers for the active ingredient, the device, encapsulation and packaging of YUTREPIA and single suppliers for the drug product and device for L606'
  • HIGHcounterpartySandoz
    10-K Item 1A: 'Liquidia PAH does not hold the FDA regulatory approval for Treprostinil Injection and is dependent on Sandoz to manufacture and supply Treprostinil Injection'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.40Resistance $66.78

Price Targets

$60
$65
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LQDA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $62.88, A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $59.53. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LQDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.44 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $59.53. Stop-loss: $59.53.

What are the risks of investing in LQDA?

Concentration risk — Product: YUTREPIA; Concentration risk — Pipeline: L606; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LQDA overvalued or undervalued?

Liquidia Corporation trades at a P/E of 375.9 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LQDA?

14 analysts cover LQDA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Liquidia Corporation do?Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH...

Liquidia is a biopharmaceutical company commercializing YUTREPIA (treprostinil inhalation powder), FDA-approved for PAH and PH-ILD in May 2025, and promoting Treprostinil Injection (generic parenteral treprostinil) under a profit-sharing arrangement with Sandoz. Revenue is derived from YUTREPIA sales and the Sandoz partnership; the company has an accumulated deficit of $626 million and achieved first profitability in Q3/Q4 2025.

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