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INIOINNIO N.V.Sell6.3·$18.35
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

INNIO is a fast-growing industrial machinery company with 42% revenue growth and large analyst-implied upside, but thin margins, weak quality, a 65% drawdown and 23% short interest make it speculative.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Margins No Moat↑Improving
  • Rapid Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Analyst Target Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

INNIO N.V. (INIO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality.

Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. It operates in two segments, Equipment and Services. The Equipment segment designs, manufactures, and sells new engines, product-related equipment, and... Read more

$18.35+55.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#7 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $17.07Analyst target $28.54(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst consensus$32.80+78.7%10 analysts
$28.54Analyst target
$18.35price
$32.80mean
$42

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — INNIO N.V.

Latest news

Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 26, 202788d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)141.2
P/E (Fwd)22.2
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA28.4
Profit Mgn2.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth57.3%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.68bearish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Put Call
2.1
News Risk
6.0
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Days To Cover
7.7
High short interest: 21%Elevated put/call: 1.68High IV: 90%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Gap
4.0
Bollinger
4.2
Support Resistance
4.5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
9.4
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 7.2>=5.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $14.58Resistance $21.41

Price Targets

$17
$29
A.Upside+55.5%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-26 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INIO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.68; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.07. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INIO stock price target?

Analyst target: $28.54 (+55.5% upside). Prior stop was $17.07. Stop-loss: $17.07.

What are the risks of investing in INIO?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).

Is INIO overvalued or undervalued?

INNIO N.V. trades at a P/E of 141.2 (forward 22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INIO?

14 analysts cover INIO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $33.

What does INNIO N.V. do?Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha...

Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. It operates in two segments, Equipment and Services. The Equipment segment designs, manufactures, and sells new engines, product-related equipment, and related solutions for data center, power solutions, and compression end-markets. The Services segment provides aftermarket services through an engine's lifecycle, including service agreements, spare parts, overhauls, remanufacturing of engines and components, digital solutions, and service-related activities, as well as maintenance and replacement of parts. It also operates Myplant, an AI-enabled fleet management platform. Th company operates in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, and internationally. Innio N.V. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany. Innio N.V. operates as a subsidiary of AI Alpine (Luxembourg) S.à r.l.

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