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JBTMJBT Marel CorporationSell5.6·$114.69+2.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 14% upside surprise, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 224% of net income, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6 times create a compelling fundamental profile, but a death cross and price below all moving averages represent a hard technical block—the fundamental case cannot be accessed until the price trend stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $114.69: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform... Read more

$114.69+28.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#24 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.75%
IncomeYield0.36%(5y avg 0.35%)Payout10.78%sustainable
Stop $107.10Target $147.19(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.5:1
Analyst target$169.19+47.5%8 analysts
$147.19our TP
$114.69price
$169.19mean
$210

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $114.69: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.3
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$5.9B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE4.4%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.56bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 4.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $110.19Resistance $120.87

Price Targets

$107
$147
A.Upside+28.7%
A.R:R4.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts14
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$169

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBTM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $114.69: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Prior stop was $107.10. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.19 (+28.7% upside). Prior stop was $107.10. Stop-loss: $107.10.

What are the risks of investing in JBTM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued?

JBT Marel Corporation trades at a P/E of 30.3 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBTM?

14 analysts cover JBTM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $169.

What does JBT Marel Corporation do?We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food...

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform the future of food by providing solutions that substantially enhance our customers' success, and in doing so design, produce and service sophisticated and critical products and systems for food and beverage companies th...

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