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JBTMJBT Marel CorporationBuy Wait5.3·$109.17
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 14% upside surprise, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 224% of net income, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6 times create a compelling fundamental profile, but a death cross and price below all moving averages represent a hard technical block—the fundamental case cannot be accessed until the price trend stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Execution→Stable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard Block→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 2, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $106.27. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.17. Engine's entry $106.27 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform... Read more

$109.17+29.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#41 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.02%
IncomeYield0.37%(5y avg 0.34%)Payout10.84%sustainable
Entry $106.27(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $100.35Target $141.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst consensus$162.71+49.0%7 analysts
$141.56our TP
$109.17price
$162.71mean
$210

Wait for pullback to $106.27. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.17. Engine's entry $106.27 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.6
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$5.7B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE4.4%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.94
Dividend0.37%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C9.44bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.5
52w Position
2.9
Support Resistance
3.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.97Resistance $111.79

Price Targets

$100
$106
$142
A.Upside+29.7%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBTM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $106.27. Below 200-day MA (death cross); also weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $109.17. Engine's entry $106.27 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Earnings in 2 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $141.56 (+29.7%), stop $100.35 (−8.8%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $141.56 (+29.7% upside). Target $141.56 (+29.7%), stop $100.35 (−8.8%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Stop-loss: $100.35.

What are the risks of investing in JBTM?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued?

JBT Marel Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about JBTM?

15 analysts cover JBTM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $163.

What does JBT Marel Corporation do?We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food...

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform the future of food by providing solutions that substantially enhance our customers' success, and in doing so design, produce and service sophisticated and critical products and systems for food and beverage companies th...

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