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InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $300.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Samsung, Apple, and vivo; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

InterDigital is a global R&D and patent licensing company with 38,000+ patents and applications in wireless, video, AI, and related technologies. It licenses foundational innovations to smartphone makers, consumer electronics firms, IoT device makers, connected automobile... Read more

$300.39+32.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#89 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $280.62Target $393.27(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$462.67+54.0%3 analysts
$393.27our TP
$300.39price
$462.67mean
$488

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $300.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Samsung, Apple, and vivo; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.0Qual8.1Grw1.8Mom3.1Sent6.9Ins3.8Peer3.1Tech7.4Risk3.84.9OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 33%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Samsung, Apple, and vivo
Weak overall score: 4.9/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)26.2
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn48.8%
ROE41.5%
Rev Growth-37.4%
Beta1.65
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C4.84bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$210-30.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerSamsung, Apple, and vivo
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of our consolidated revenue.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -37.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
3.5
Declining revenue: -37%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Vol Acceleration
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Volume
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weaknessVolume surge (2.5x avg) on selloff

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
9.4
Superior ROE vs peersBest-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $289.30Resistance $387.30

Price Targets

$281
$393
A.Upside+30.9%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDCC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $300.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Samsung, Apple, and vivo; Weak overall score: 4.9/10. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 29, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $280.62. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $393.27 (+32.6% upside). Prior stop was $280.62. Stop-loss: $280.62.

What are the risks of investing in IDCC?

Concentration risk — Customer: Samsung, Apple, and vivo; Weak overall score: 4.9/10; Weak growth.

Is IDCC overvalued or undervalued?

InterDigital, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IDCC?

11 analysts cover IDCC with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $463.

What does InterDigital, Inc. do?InterDigital is a global R&D and patent licensing company with 38,000+ patents and applications in wireless, video, AI,...

InterDigital is a global R&D and patent licensing company with 38,000+ patents and applications in wireless, video, AI, and related technologies. It licenses foundational innovations to smartphone makers, consumer electronics firms, IoT device makers, connected automobile manufacturers, and cloud/streaming services, generating $834M in total revenue in 2025.

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