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IDCCInterDigital, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$320.56
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

InterDigital combines genuinely exceptional business quality — 44% gross margins, free cash flow converting at 126% of net income, and a four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 35% upside to consensus — with the market pricing in uncertainty via a 12% short interest and a declining revenue trend, creating a 36% gap to analyst targets that represents a meaningful opportunity if the revenue trajectory stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Declining Revenue Growth Headwind→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Generation Margins→Stable
  • Four Quarter Beat Streak→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $316.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $320.56. Engine's entry $316.41 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

InterDigital holds more than 38,000 patents in wireless (3G–5G, Wi-Fi) and video (HEVC, VVC) technologies and licenses them to device makers and service providers worldwide, generating $834.0 million in revenue in 2025. Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of 2025... Read more

$320.56+22.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#70 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.26%
IncomeYield0.94%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout31.54%sustainable
Entry $316.41(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $305.24Target $393.27(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst consensus$462.67+44.3%3 analysts
$393.27our TP
$320.56price
$462.67mean
$488

Wait for pullback to $316.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $320.56. Engine's entry $316.41 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About InterDigital, Inc.

About InterDigital, Inc.

Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of InterDigital's $834.0 million in 2025 consolidated revenue — the company's three largest licensees disclosed in descending order. InterDigital holds more than 38,000 patents spanning 3G through 5G cellular, Wi-Fi, HEVC, and VVC video standards. A July 2025 International Chamber of Commerce arbitration panel set Samsung's royalties at $1.05 billion for the eight-year patent license running January 1, 2023 through December 31, 2030, generating approximately $131 million of recurring annual revenue.

InterDigital earns revenue primarily from fixed-fee patent license agreements, with a smaller portion from variable royalty and hybrid arrangements that include catch-up payments for prior unlicensed periods when new agreements execute. The company covers roughly 85% of the global smartphone market under license and approximately 60% of the tablets and personal computers market. License agreements are in place with Apple (through September 30, 2029), vivo (through June 30, 2028), and other major manufacturers including Samsung, Google, Honor, and Lenovo. A joint licensing program with Sony — the Madison Arrangement — combines their respective digital television and computer display monitor patents for joint licensing; the Samsung TV agreement under that arrangement expired December 31, 2025 and is being actively renewed. InterDigital also pursues video services licensing targeting SVOD and AVOD markets; in 2025 the company initiated patent infringement actions against Disney and Amazon, and courts in Brazil and Germany awarded injunctions against Disney video streaming services.

Show full overview

InterDigital's revenue is subject to renewal risk across its concentrated licensee base. The Samsung TV agreement expiration on December 31, 2025 creates a gap period in which TV-related Samsung revenue cannot be recognized until renewal is completed. The Apple agreement expires September 30, 2029 and will require renegotiation before that date. The 10-K notes that in 2025, Samsung, Apple, and Xiaomi collectively accounted for over 50% of worldwide smartphone shipments, meaning that the commercial health of these three device makers directly shapes the royalty base. If any court or arbitration tribunal sets a worldwide royalty rate unfavorable to InterDigital, the standard-essential patent portfolio could be significantly devalued relative to FRAND royalty benchmarks.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From InterDigital, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 23%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.4
P/E (Fwd)28.4
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn38.3%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth-13.4%
Beta1.42
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.12bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$250-22.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerSamsung
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of our consolidated revenue'
  • LOWCustomerApple
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of our consolidated revenue'
  • LOWCustomervivo
    10-K Item 1A: 'in 2025, Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of our consolidated revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $314.68Resistance $346.02

Price Targets

$305
$316
$393
A.Upside+22.7%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IDCC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $316.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $320.56. Engine's entry $316.41 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $393.27 (+22.7%), stop $305.24 (−5.0%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IDCC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $393.27 (+22.7% upside). Target $393.27 (+22.7%), stop $305.24 (−5.0%), A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $305.24.

What are the risks of investing in IDCC?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is IDCC overvalued or undervalued?

InterDigital, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 28.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IDCC?

11 analysts cover IDCC with a consensus score of 4.5/5. Average price target: $463.

What does InterDigital, Inc. do?InterDigital holds more than 38,000 patents in wireless (3G–5G, Wi-Fi) and video (HEVC, VVC) technologies and licenses...

InterDigital holds more than 38,000 patents in wireless (3G–5G, Wi-Fi) and video (HEVC, VVC) technologies and licenses them to device makers and service providers worldwide, generating $834.0 million in revenue in 2025. Samsung, Apple, and vivo each comprised 10% or more of 2025 consolidated revenue; a July 2025 ICC arbitration set Samsung's eight-year royalty at $1.05 billion through 2030. Revenue flows primarily from fixed-fee patent license agreements and variable royalty arrangements.

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