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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.2·$15.72-8.55%
IAG · Why this verdict

Why Iamgold (IAG) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.2/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

9.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E9.2
P/S8.5
EV/EBITDA8.8
Fwd P/E9.8
PEG10.0
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 6.4x
  • PEG: 0.01
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE9.3
ROA10.0
Gross margin5.6
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio6.7
FCF quality6.8
Moat8.2
Piotroski F10.0
  • Excellent ROE: 28%
  • Strong margins: 29%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 116% YoY

Momentum

3.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD2.7
OBV1.0
MA position2.2
Volume5.2
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+10.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Sentiment

7.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment7.5
Analyst rating6.5
Price target9.8
  • LLM news sentiment: +0.50 (n=1)
  • Light analyst coverage (5.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 61%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

5.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank8.2
quality rank5.3
growth rank6.7
  • Attractive P/E vs peers

Technical

7.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger9.9
support resistance9.9
52w position2.4
gap7.0

Risk (lower is worse)

4.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover10.0
volatility0.0
put call7.2
implied vol0.0
beta2.7
debt equity9.4
  • High IV: 83%

Catalyst

6.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity5.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 3.1 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_A_VALUE_MOS33->V9:WEAK_MOMENTUM|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (7)
  • ASYMMETRY:3.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:0/3
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:3.1<4.5
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
3.50
Upside
+40.5%
Downside
11.6%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeTEMP_HEADWIND High quality (8.5) with weak momentum (3.1)

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 2.20>1.3

Investment implication

The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects the MOMENTUM gate's 3.1<4.5 outcome against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 3.50.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 9.3, and Quality at 8.5; the weakest are Momentum at 3.1, Risk (lower is worse) at 4.9, and Peer rank at 5.0. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 3.50 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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