Skip to main content
HXLHexcel CorporationSell5.3·$97.36+6.32%
Open full analysis

Hexcel Corporation (HXL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Commercial Aerospace (61.0%).

Hexcel manufactures advanced composite materials—carbon fiber, prepregs, and honeycomb core—for aerospace (61% of 2025 net sales) and defense/space/industrial (39%). Airbus and Boeing combined account for approximately 52% of total sales, with $1.9B in 2025 net revenues across... Read more

$97.36-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#29 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.68%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout45.70%sustainable
Stop $90.84Target $95.78(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$94.64-2.8%14 analysts
$95.78our TP
$97.36price
$94.64mean
$79
$105

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Commercial Aerospace (61.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Commercial Aerospace (61.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.6
P/E (Fwd)28.8
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA22.8
Profit Mgn6.1%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV56%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerAirbus39%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 39%... of our 2025... net sales, respectively, were to Airbus and its subcontractors'
  • MEDIUMCustomerBoeing13%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 13%... of our 2025... net sales, respectively, were to Boeing and its subcontractors'
  • HIGHProductCommercial Aerospace61%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 61% of our sales for 2025 were derived from sales to the Commercial Aerospace industry'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 1.01LOW
    Hexcel entered a new $750M revolving credit facility with Bank of America as agent on March 31, 2026, replacing the prior facility due to expire April 2028. Borrowed $300M to repay the prior facility.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    James Coogan appointed as EVP and CFO effective May 1, 2026, succeeding interim CFO Michael Lenz who transitions to Senior Advisor for approximately three months. Clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Neal J. Keating appointed to Board and Audit Committee pursuant to cooperation agreement with Vision One Fund LP on March 3, 2026. No departures; routine board expansion in settlement with activist shareholder.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.0
Value Rank
3.9
Quality Rank
4.5

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
4.2
Peg Ratio
5.3
Ps
7.9
Forward P/E: 28.8xPEG: 1.42

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $82.61Resistance $97.73

Price Targets

$91
$96
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HXL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $97.36 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: Commercial Aerospace (61.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $90.84. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HXL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.78 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $90.84. Stop-loss: $90.84.

What are the risks of investing in HXL?

Concentration risk — Product: Commercial Aerospace (61.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).

Is HXL overvalued or undervalued?

Hexcel Corporation trades at a P/E of 60.6 (forward 28.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HXL?

21 analysts cover HXL with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $95.

What does Hexcel Corporation do?Hexcel manufactures advanced composite materials—carbon fiber, prepregs, and honeycomb core—for aerospace (61% of 2025...

Hexcel manufactures advanced composite materials—carbon fiber, prepregs, and honeycomb core—for aerospace (61% of 2025 net sales) and defense/space/industrial (39%). Airbus and Boeing combined account for approximately 52% of total sales, with $1.9B in 2025 net revenues across two segments: Composite Materials (80%) and Engineered Products (20%).

Related stocks: VVX (V2X, Inc.) · LOAR (Loar Holdings Inc.) · HEI-A (Heico Corporation) · HEI (Heico Corporation) · VSEC (VSE Corporation)
Home Stocks HXL

Latest news

Latest News

Seeking Alpha47d ago
GuruFocus54d ago
Yahoo Finance54d ago
Quiver Quantitative54d ago
MarketBeat54d ago
Seeking Alpha54d ago
Marketscreener.com54d agoEarnings
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai54d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance55d agoProduct
The Motley Fool61d ago
MarketBeat62d agoEarnings
StockStory56d agoEarnings
Simplywall.st63d ago
Yahoo Finance63d agoEarnings
GuruFocus53d agoEarnings
StockStory53d ago
MarketBeat50d ago
Yahoo Finance65d ago
Investing.com India52d ago
GuruFocus59d ago
Loading more...