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HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.Hold5.3·$46.97
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HomeTrust Bancshares has beaten earnings in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and trades at a forward P/E near 11x, but the $48.10 price is already 2.4% above the $46.96 analyst target, limiting upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins No Moat↑Improving
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Reasonable Bank Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank operating over 30 branches across North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. The bank held $4.5 billion in total assets, $3.7 billion in... Read more

$46.970.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#193 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.28%(5y avg 1.33%)Payout13.91%sustainable
Stop $44.93Analyst target $46.96(reached)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst consensus$55.25+17.6%4 analysts
$46.97price
$55.25mean
$59

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.

About HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.

HomeTrust Bancshares held $4.5 billion in consolidated total assets, $3.7 billion in deposits, and $600.7 million in stockholders' equity as of December 31, 2025, operating more than 30 branches across a five-state footprint spanning North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. HomeTrust Bank, regulated by the North Carolina Office of the Commissioner of Banks and the Federal Reserve, concentrates 49.8% of its total loan portfolio in commercial real estate.

HomeTrust funds its lending - commercial real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, equipment finance, municipal leases, and one-to-four family residential mortgages - primarily through retail deposits gathered across its branch network, supplemented by brokered deposits and borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta. Commercial real estate loans, including multifamily, totaled $1.8 billion, or 49.8% of the total loan portfolio, at December 31, 2025, while one-to-four family residential loans made up 17.7% and equipment finance loans made up 8.7%. The bank has been winding down higher-risk niches: it stopped originating over-the-road trucking equipment finance loans at the end of 2023 after nonaccruals and charge-offs rose, and it ceased indirect auto finance originations in March 2024, shrinking that portfolio to $38.3 million by December 31, 2025. HomeTrust competes for loans and deposits against other community banks, credit unions, and fintech companies across its five-state footprint.

Show full overview

HomeTrust's credit trajectory is moving in the wrong direction, even if modestly: nonperforming assets rose to $44.4 million, or 0.98% of total assets, at December 31, 2025, up from $28.8 million, or 0.63%, a year earlier, with commercial real estate loans alone accounting for 39.8% of total nonperforming loans. The bank's combined exposure to multifamily, non-farm/non-residential, construction, and land development loans equaled 209.9% of total risk-based capital at year-end 2025, below the 300% threshold that triggers heightened regulatory scrutiny under interagency CRE concentration guidance but still above the 100% level at which banking regulators expect a formal concentration risk assessment.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 21, 202783d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.8
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$743M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn31.3%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth5.0%
Beta0.80
Dividend1.28%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, commercial real estate loans were $1.8 billion, or 49.8% of our total loan portfolio, including multifamily loans totaling $110.9 million or 3.1% of our total loan portfolio.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNorth Carolina, South Carolina, East Tennessee, Southwest Virginia, and Georgia
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary market areas are concentrated in North Carolina (the Asheville metropolitan area, the "Piedmont" region, Charlotte and Raleigh/Cary), South Carolina (Greenville and Charleston), East Tennessee (Kingsport/Johnson City and Morristown), Southwest Virginia (the Roanoke Valley) and Georgia (Greater Atlanta).'
  • LOWloan_portfolioone-to-four family residential loans18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, $633.5 million, or 17.7% of our total loan portfolio, was secured by liens on one-to-four family residential loans.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Robert E. James, Jr. retired as a director of HomeTrust Bancshares and HomeTrust Bank, effective at completion of the May 18, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine retirement; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-19Item 5.07LOW
    At the May 18, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders elected three directors (Cureton, Jacobs, Neelagaru) by plurality vote. Routine annual meeting vote results.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=-0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.09Resistance $48.49

Price Targets

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.0% upside)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-21 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $46.96 reached (0.0%), stop $44.93 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTB stock price target?

Analyst target $46.96 reached (0.0% from $46.97); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $46.96 reached (0.0%), stop $44.93 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $44.93.

What are the risks of investing in HTB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is HTB overvalued or undervalued?

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.8 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HTB?

9 analysts cover HTB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $55.

What does HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. do?HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank...

HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank operating over 30 branches across North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. The bank held $4.5 billion in total assets, $3.7 billion in deposits, and a loan portfolio concentrated in commercial real estate (49.8%) as of December 31, 2025, funding commercial, construction, equipment finance, municipal lease, and residential mortgage lending through retail deposits, brokered deposits, and FHLB Atlanta borrowings.

Related stocks: GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · HBNC (Horizon Bancorp, Inc.) · MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · CARE (Carter Bankshares, Inc.) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation)
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