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HTBHomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.Hold5.6·$47.96-2.12%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

HomeTrust Bancshares combines a perfect earnings beat streak and an attractive valuation with a bullish technical breakout setup, but the shares have already reached their target near the 52-week high, and the engine flags a negative risk/reward asymmetry alongside heavy insider selling.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation MultipleStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Bullish Technical BreakoutStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank operating over 30 branches across North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. The bank held $4.5 billion in total assets, $3.7 billion in... Read more

$47.96+4.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#166 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 1.37%)Payout12.92%sustainable
Stop $45.45Target $49.98(resistance)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst target$50.06+4.4%4 analysts
$49.98our TP
$47.96price
$50.06mean
$47
$52

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.

About HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.

HomeTrust Bancshares held $4.5 billion in consolidated total assets, $3.7 billion in deposits, and $600.7 million in stockholders' equity as of December 31, 2025, operating more than 30 branches across a five-state footprint spanning North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. HomeTrust Bank, regulated by the North Carolina Office of the Commissioner of Banks and the Federal Reserve, concentrates 49.8% of its total loan portfolio in commercial real estate.

HomeTrust funds its lending - commercial real estate, construction and land development, commercial and industrial, equipment finance, municipal leases, and one-to-four family residential mortgages - primarily through retail deposits gathered across its branch network, supplemented by brokered deposits and borrowings from the Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta. Commercial real estate loans, including multifamily, totaled $1.8 billion, or 49.8% of the total loan portfolio, at December 31, 2025, while one-to-four family residential loans made up 17.7% and equipment finance loans made up 8.7%. The bank has been winding down higher-risk niches: it stopped originating over-the-road trucking equipment finance loans at the end of 2023 after nonaccruals and charge-offs rose, and it ceased indirect auto finance originations in March 2024, shrinking that portfolio to $38.3 million by December 31, 2025. HomeTrust competes for loans and deposits against other community banks, credit unions, and fintech companies across its five-state footprint.

Show full overview

HomeTrust's credit trajectory is moving in the wrong direction, even if modestly: nonperforming assets rose to $44.4 million, or 0.98% of total assets, at December 31, 2025, up from $28.8 million, or 0.63%, a year earlier, with commercial real estate loans alone accounting for 39.8% of total nonperforming loans. The bank's combined exposure to multifamily, non-farm/non-residential, construction, and land development loans equaled 209.9% of total risk-based capital at year-end 2025, below the 300% threshold that triggers heightened regulatory scrutiny under interagency CRE concentration guidance but still above the 100% level at which banking regulators expect a formal concentration risk assessment.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)13.2
Mkt Cap$830M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE11.5%
Rev Growth9.3%
Beta0.80
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate loans50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, commercial real estate loans were $1.8 billion, or 49.8% of our total loan portfolio, including multifamily loans totaling $110.9 million or 3.1% of our total loan portfolio.'
  • MEDIUMGeographicNorth Carolina, South Carolina, East Tennessee, Southwest Virginia, and Georgia
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary market areas are concentrated in North Carolina (the Asheville metropolitan area, the "Piedmont" region, Charlotte and Raleigh/Cary), South Carolina (Greenville and Charleston), East Tennessee (Kingsport/Johnson City and Morristown), Southwest Virginia (the Roanoke Valley) and Georgia (Greater Atlanta).'
  • LOWloan_portfolioone-to-four family residential loans18%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, $633.5 million, or 17.7% of our total loan portfolio, was secured by liens on one-to-four family residential loans.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Robert E. James, Jr. retired as a director of HomeTrust Bancshares and HomeTrust Bank, effective at completion of the May 18, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine retirement; no successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-19Item 5.07LOW
    At the May 18, 2026 Annual Meeting, stockholders elected three directors (Cureton, Jacobs, Neelagaru) by plurality vote. Routine annual meeting vote results.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.34%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.79Resistance $51.00

Price Targets

$45
$50
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $49.98 (+4.2%), stop $45.45 (−5.5%), A.R:R -2.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.98 (+4.5% upside). Target $49.98 (+4.2%), stop $45.45 (−5.5%), A.R:R -2.2:1. Stop-loss: $45.45.

What are the risks of investing in HTB?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is HTB overvalued or undervalued?

HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 13.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HTB?

9 analysts cover HTB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $50.

What does HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. do?HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank...

HomeTrust Bancshares is the bank holding company for HomeTrust Bank, a North Carolina state-chartered community bank operating over 30 branches across North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Georgia. The bank held $4.5 billion in total assets, $3.7 billion in deposits, and a loan portfolio concentrated in commercial real estate (49.8%) as of December 31, 2025, funding commercial, construction, equipment finance, municipal lease, and residential mortgage lending through retail deposits, brokered deposits, and FHLB Atlanta borrowings.

Related stocks: BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · COFS (ChoiceOne Financial Services, I) · AROW (Arrow Financial Corporation) · CCNE (CNB Financial Corporation) · NBN (Northeast Bank)
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