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HPQHP Inc.Sell5.1·$24.95-1.15%
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HP Inc. (HPQ) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon.

HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics) for global commercial and consumer markets through Personal Systems and Printing segments. Revenue comes from hardware sales, supplies, and services;... Read more

$24.95+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.95%
IncomeYield4.75%(5y avg 3.59%)Payout43.66%sustainable
Stop $23.19Target $28.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$22.91-8.2%16 analysts
$28.70our TP
$24.95price
$22.91mean
$18
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — HP Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 38%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.3
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$23.1B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta1.18
Dividend4.75%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV59%elevated
Max Pain$11-55.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierCanon
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on Canon for certain laser printer engines and laser toner cartridges and certain key suppliers for application specific integrated circuits ("ASICs")'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02LOW
    At 2026 annual meeting on April 16, 2026, stockholders approved Fifth Amended and Restated HP Inc. 2004 Stock Incentive Plan, adding 73,600,000 shares. Routine equity plan expansion; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.19Resistance $29.29

Price Targets

$23
$29
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HPQ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.95 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.19. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HPQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.70 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $23.19. Stop-loss: $23.19.

What are the risks of investing in HPQ?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Canon; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is HPQ overvalued or undervalued?

HP Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.3 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HPQ?

26 analysts cover HPQ with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $23.

What does HP Inc. do?HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics)...

HP Inc. makes personal computers (desktops, notebooks, workstations) and printing products (consumer, office, graphics) for global commercial and consumer markets through Personal Systems and Printing segments. Revenue comes from hardware sales, supplies, and services; approximately 55,000 employees worldwide. The company relies on Canon for certain laser printer engines and on Intel, AMD, and NVIDIA as sole or primary processor suppliers.

Related stocks: ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.) · WDC (Western Digital Corporation) · SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.) · STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC) · RGTI (Rigetti Computing, Inc.)
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