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ANETArista Networks, Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$163.76+4.71%
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Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Wait for pullback to $141.52. At $163.76 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $141.52 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation.

Arista Networks designs, markets, and sells cloud and AI data center networking switches, routers, and EOS software to cloud titans, AI Neoclouds, and enterprise customers worldwide. Two customers represented 26% and 16% of total revenue in 2025; manufacturing is contracted to... Read more

$163.76+20.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.12%
Entry $141.52(200-day MA)Stop $132.89Target $170.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1Setup A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$189.13+15.5%27 analysts
$170.21our TP
$163.76price
$189.13mean
$220

Wait for pullback to $141.52. At $163.76 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $141.52 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Arista Networks, Inc.

About Arista Networks, Inc.

Two hyperscale customers accounted for 26% and 16% of Arista Networks' total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, with annual revenue growing 28.6% that year following 19.5% growth in 2024. Arista delivers cloud, campus, and AI data center networking through three customer categories — Cloud and AI Titans, AI and Specialty Providers, and Enterprise — and manufactures products through Jabil, Sanmina, and Foxconn primarily in Malaysia, Vietnam, and Mexico.

Arista earns revenue through hardware sales of switches and routers — marketed as the Etherlink portfolio for AI workloads and the traditional leaf-and-spine architecture for cloud data centers — alongside software, services, and support contracts sold via direct sales and channel partners including distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, and OEM partners globally. The company is primarily reliant on Broadcom for switching silicon, collaborating closely on product roadmaps rather than securing guaranteed supply contracts — a dependency that extends through final assembly at contract manufacturers. Cisco remains the dominant data center and campus networking incumbent the company competes against, while Nvidia's InfiniBand and NVLink interconnects compete for AI cluster back-end networking. Export controls enacted by the US government since 2018, and enhanced under the current administration, expose Arista to direct sales restrictions and indirect impacts on customers who source components from China, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Mexico, where Arista's manufacturing is concentrated.

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Customer concentration poses the most directly quantified risk: the two largest buyers generated a combined 42% of 2025 revenue, and orders are based on purchase orders with no long-term volume commitments. The 10-K discloses that large customers receive pricing discounts, bundled upgrades, extended warranties, and favorable acceptance terms — concessions that compress gross margins on the most important accounts. Capital expenditure cycles, AI infrastructure buildout timing, and cost-reduction programs at these hyperscalers operate independently of Arista's planning horizon, and a cancellation or deferral by either buyer could materially disrupt quarterly revenue.

See also: Technology · Computer Hardware

From Arista Networks, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.3%
Expensive valuation
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)56.1
P/E (Fwd)36.7
Mkt Cap$205.5B
EV/EBITDA45.6
Profit Mgn38.3%
ROE31.5%
Rev Growth35.1%
Beta1.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.72bearish
IV64%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop customer (26%)26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to these two customers represented 26% and 16% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, respectively'
  • LOWCustomersecond customer (16%)16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to these two customers represented 26% and 16% of our total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, respectively'
  • MEDIUMSupplierBroadcom
    10-K Item 1: 'we are primarily reliant upon our predominant merchant silicon vendor, Broadcom, for our switching chips'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.2
Forward Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
4.4
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 36.7xPEG: 2.10Expensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $137.00Resistance $177.48

Price Targets

$133
$142
$170
A.Upside+3.9%
A.R:R0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.3%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANET stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $141.52. At $163.76 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $141.52 (200-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $170.21 (+3.9%), stop $132.89 (−23.2%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANET stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.21 (+20.3% upside). Target $170.21 (+3.9%), stop $132.89 (−23.2%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $132.89.

What are the risks of investing in ANET?

Thin upside margin: 4.3%; Expensive valuation; Negative momentum.

Is ANET overvalued or undervalued?

Arista Networks, Inc. trades at a P/E of 56.1 (forward 36.7). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ANET?

34 analysts cover ANET with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $189.

What does Arista Networks, Inc. do?Arista Networks designs, markets, and sells cloud and AI data center networking switches, routers, and EOS software to...

Arista Networks designs, markets, and sells cloud and AI data center networking switches, routers, and EOS software to cloud titans, AI Neoclouds, and enterprise customers worldwide. Two customers represented 26% and 16% of total revenue in 2025; manufacturing is contracted to Jabil, Sanmina, and Foxconn at facilities in Malaysia, Vietnam, and Mexico. The company is primarily reliant on Broadcom for switching silicon with no long-term guaranteed supply contracts.

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