Skip to main content
WDCWestern Digital CorporationBuy Wait6.0·$566.50+7.03%
Open full analysis

Western Digital Corporation (WDC) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Wait for pullback to $524.66. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $566.50. Engine's entry $524.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Western Digital is a leading HDD developer, manufacturer, and provider focused on Cloud, Client, and Consumer storage markets, following its February 2025 separation of the Flash business (Sandisk) into an independent company. With ~40,000 employees and manufacturing... Read more

$566.50+12.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 14 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.07%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 3.23%)Payout2.69%sustainable
Entry $524.66(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $448.33Target $590.33(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$547.09-3.4%23 analysts
$590.33our TP
$566.50price
$547.09mean
$360
$685

Wait for pullback to $524.66. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $566.50. Engine's entry $524.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.50, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.73)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (55.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.7
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$194.0B
EV/EBITDA49.0
Profit Mgn55.3%
ROE85.9%
Rev Growth45.5%
Beta2.20
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV95%elevated
Max Pain$15-97.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-3 customers
    10-K Item 1: 'For 2025, three customers accounted for 17%, 12%, and 10%, respectively, of our net revenue.'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales55%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our international sales...represented 55%, 58% and 57% of our net revenue for 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.7
Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 31.4xPEG: 0.50
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $433.89Resistance $602.38

Price Targets

$448
$525
$590
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R-0.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.5% upside)
! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $524.66. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $566.50. Engine's entry $524.66 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.50, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $590.33 (+4.2%), stop $448.33 (−26.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $590.33 (+12.5% upside). Target $590.33 (+4.2%), stop $448.33 (−26.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $448.33.

What are the risks of investing in WDC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (55.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is WDC overvalued or undervalued?

Western Digital Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.7 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WDC?

29 analysts cover WDC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $547.

What does Western Digital Corporation do?Western Digital is a leading HDD developer, manufacturer, and provider focused on Cloud, Client, and Consumer storage...

Western Digital is a leading HDD developer, manufacturer, and provider focused on Cloud, Client, and Consumer storage markets, following its February 2025 separation of the Flash business (Sandisk) into an independent company. With ~40,000 employees and manufacturing concentrated in Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines, three customers accounted for 17%, 12%, and 10% of 2025 net revenue.

Related stocks: ANET (Arista Networks, Inc.) · SNDK (Sandisk Corporation) · DELL (Dell Technologies Inc.) · STX (Seagate Technology Holdings PLC) · PSTG (Everpure, Inc.)
Home Stocks WDC

Latest news

Latest News

Barchart.com47d ago
Barron's47d ago
Seeking Alpha48d ago
MarketBeat19d ago
MarketBeat19d ago
Yahoo Finance19d ago
Yahoo Finance19d ago
MarketBeat19d agoAnalyst
Stocktwits54d ago
Investor's Business Daily54d agoEarnings
Investor's Business Daily54d ago
Msn.com54d ago
Yahoo! Finance Canada54d ago
MarketBeat54d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat55d agoAnalyst
TIKR.com26d ago
MarketBeat62d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat33d ago
Moomoo34d ago
MarketBeat5d ago
Loading more...