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HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.Hold5.7·$345.84-0.03%
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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $345.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Hilton Worldwide is a global hospitality company with 9,158 properties and 1,351,351 rooms in 143 countries as of December 31, 2025, operating through a management and franchise segment and an ownership segment across luxury to economy chain scales. Revenue comes primarily from... Read more

$345.84-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.14%
IncomeYield0.17%(5y avg 0.80%)Payout9.16%sustainable
Stop $329.53Target $344.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$347.33+0.4%24 analysts
$344.67our TP
$345.84price
$347.33mean
$260
$390

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $345.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.9
P/E (Fwd)33.2
Mkt Cap$78.8B
EV/EBITDA30.4
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.17%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$400+15.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher Silcock, President Global Brands & Commercial Services, intends to retire in Q1 2027. Leadership updates announced: Laura Fuentes moves to Chief Brand Officer; Chris Wilroy joins Executive Committee; outside search launched for new Chief Technology Officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Forward Pe
3.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.8
Forward P/E: 33.2xPEG: 1.71Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $312.85Resistance $351.70

Price Targets

$330
$345
A.Upside-0.3%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $345.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $344.67 (-0.3%), stop $329.53 (−4.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $344.67 (-0.4% upside). Target $344.67 (-0.3%), stop $329.53 (−4.9%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $329.53.

What are the risks of investing in HLT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Expensive valuation.

Is HLT overvalued or undervalued?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.9 (forward 33.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLT?

31 analysts cover HLT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $347.

What does Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. do?Hilton Worldwide is a global hospitality company with 9,158 properties and 1,351,351 rooms in 143 countries as of...

Hilton Worldwide is a global hospitality company with 9,158 properties and 1,351,351 rooms in 143 countries as of December 31, 2025, operating through a management and franchise segment and an ownership segment across luxury to economy chain scales. Revenue comes primarily from management and franchise fees charged to third-party hotel owners, plus licensing fees and nightly room sales at 46 owned/leased properties. Hilton Honors has 243 million members, up 15% year-over-year.

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · MAR (Marriott International) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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