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MARMarriott InternationalSell5.2·$393.61+0.56%
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Marriott International (MAR) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $393.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease... Read more

$393.61-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#4 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.74%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 1.29%)Payout28.06%sustainable
Stop $376.09Target $390.98(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$377.67-4.1%24 analysts
$390.98our TP
$393.61price
$377.67mean
$272
$446

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $393.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.2
P/E (Fwd)29.9
Mkt Cap$103.2B
EV/EBITDA25.4
Profit Mgn36.0%
ROE
Rev Growth12.6%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV41%normal
Max Pain$265-32.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.4
Pe
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.2
Forward P/E: 29.9xPEG: 2.33Expensive valuation

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.6
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $345.58Resistance $398.96

Price Targets

$376
$391
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $393.61 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $376.09. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the MAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $390.98 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $376.09. Stop-loss: $376.09.

What are the risks of investing in MAR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is MAR overvalued or undervalued?

Marriott International trades at a P/E of 41.2 (forward 29.9). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAR?

31 analysts cover MAR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $378.

What does Marriott International do?We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties...

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease very few of our lodging properties (less than one percent of our system).

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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