Skip to main content
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.Sell5.6·$1317.63-0.92%
Open full analysis

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1317.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away).

The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it exists, how it serves customers and how team members work together to achieve its objectives. Grainger's purpose is We Keep The World Working®, which in turn... Read more

$1317.63+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.85%
IncomeYield0.70%(5y avg 1.00%)Payout24.31%sustainable
Stop $1267.59Target $1322.75(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$1277.15-3.1%13 analysts
$1322.75our TP
$1317.63price
$1277.15mean
$930
$1399

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1317.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.4% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.5
P/E (Fwd)26.1
Mkt Cap$62.2B
EV/EBITDA21.0
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE46.1%
Rev Growth10.1%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.70%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$920-30.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1220.00Resistance $1349.74

Price Targets

$1268
$1323
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GWW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1317.63 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $1267.59. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GWW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $1322.75 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $1267.59. Stop-loss: $1267.59.

What are the risks of investing in GWW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.4% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is GWW overvalued or undervalued?

W.W. Grainger, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.5 (forward 26.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GWW?

23 analysts cover GWW with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $1277.

What does W.W. Grainger, Inc. do?The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it...

The Grainger Edge Grainger's strategic framework, the Grainger Edge®, uniquely defines the Company by asserting why it exists, how it serves customers and how team members work together to achieve its objectives. Grainger's purpose is We Keep The World Working®, which in turn allows customers to focus on the core of their businesses and do what they do best.

Related stocks: WCC (WESCO International, Inc.) · FERG (Ferguson Enterprises Inc.) · FAST (Fastenal Company) · POOL (Pool Corporation) · AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies)
Home Stocks GWW

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat42d ago
MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance42d ago
MarketBeat45d ago
Benzinga19d agoAnalyst
Benzinga20d ago
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga35d agoAnalyst
Benzinga38d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d agoEarnings
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga47d ago
Benzinga55d agoAnalyst