Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Sell if holding. At $236.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%).
Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North America, operating 1,746 branches with ~35,000 associates. The US segment contributes 95% of net sales across all 50 states; the Canada segment contributes 5%... Read more
Sell if holding. At $236.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Ferguson Enterprises Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Barclays Maintains Overweight on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $297 — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- NEWS RBC Capital Maintains Outperform on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $281 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Ferguson Enterprises, Raises Price Target to $285 — benzinga May 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Weak US Housing Demand Hits Ferguson's Revenue Growth — benzinga May 5, 2026 negative
- NEWS Contractor Commerce Forms Alliance With Ferguson Over Upgrade Of Contracting Sector — benzinga May 5, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States95%10-K Item 1: 'The United States segment contributed 95% of net sales in each of fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $236.34, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $224.08. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $256.11 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $224.08. Stop-loss: $224.08.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (95.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Ferguson Enterprises Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover FERG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $285.
What does Ferguson Enterprises Inc. do?Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North...
Ferguson is the largest distributor of plumbing, HVAC, pipes/valves/fittings, and water/wastewater products in North America, operating 1,746 branches with ~35,000 associates. The US segment contributes 95% of net sales across all 50 states; the Canada segment contributes 5% under the Wolseley brand. No single customer accounts for more than 1% of net sales.