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AITApplied Industrial TechnologiesSell5.3·$320.11+0.38%
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Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $320.11 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%).

Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation products through two segments—Service Center (66% of FY2025 sales) and Engineered Solutions (34%)—via a network of approximately 600 facilities across North America and selected... Read more

$320.11-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#9 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.81%
IncomeYield0.64%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout17.86%sustainable
Stop $305.89Target $319.88(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$334.00+4.3%5 analysts
$319.88our TP
$320.11price
$334.00mean
$350

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $320.11 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Applied Industrial Technologies

About Applied Industrial Technologies

Applied Industrial Technologies' FY2025 sales split between the Service Center segment (66%) and Engineered Solutions segment (34%), with 88% of sales originating in the United States and the largest international market being Canada at 6%. At June 30, 2025, the company operated through approximately 600 facilities across seven countries, with 6,800 employee associates—5,250 in the United States, 650 in Canada, and 900 in other locations.

Applied earns revenue by distributing more than 9.2 million stock-keeping units from thousands of product manufacturers to industrial customers across MRO, OEM, and new-installation applications. The Service Center segment focuses on bearings, power transmission, hydraulic, and pneumatic product distribution through local service centers acting as inventory hubs for critical-breakdown situations. The Engineered Solutions segment—which contributed over 40% of consolidated EBITDA—specializes in hydraulic and pneumatic systems design, specialty flow control, and advanced automation technologies including machine vision, collaborative robots, and industrial networking. No single customer accounts for more than 5% of fiscal 2025 sales, and supplier authorizations are non-exclusive and terminable by either party. Purchasing incentives tied to volume attainment from product suppliers represent a margin element that declines when customer demand softens, creating a procyclical earnings pattern.

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Applied's pricing model exposes the company to both inflationary and deflationary cycles. A portion of contracts permit inflationary price pass-through, but the remainder depends on negotiated increases that may lag input cost changes. If deflation in raw materials or energy prices reduces selling prices, gross margins could erode even with stable volumes—a dynamic the 10-K explicitly identifies as a risk regardless of price direction. Total debt of $572.3 million at June 30, 2025, combined with the capital requirements of continued acquisitions—which the company cites as integral to growth in a fragmented market—means margin compression in a prolonged pricing downcycle could weigh on the company's financial flexibility.

See also: Industrials · Industrial Distribution

From Applied Industrial Technologies's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Applied Industrial Technologies

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.2
P/E (Fwd)27.2
Mkt Cap$11.8B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE21.9%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta0.85
Dividend0.64%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$240-25.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States88%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our operations are primarily based in the United States where 88% of our fiscal 2025 sales were generated.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $295.83Resistance $326.41

Price Targets

$306
$320
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $320.11 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $305.89. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $319.88 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $305.89. Stop-loss: $305.89.

What are the risks of investing in AIT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (88.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

Is AIT overvalued or undervalued?

Applied Industrial Technologies trades at a P/E of 30.2 (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AIT?

12 analysts cover AIT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $334.

What does Applied Industrial Technologies do?Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation products through two...

Applied Industrial Technologies distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation products through two segments—Service Center (66% of FY2025 sales) and Engineered Solutions (34%)—via a network of approximately 600 facilities across North America and selected international markets. Revenue comes from MRO and OEM sales to industrial customers; 88% of FY2025 sales originated in the U.S., and no single customer exceeds 5% of sales.

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