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GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompSell5.0·$4.41
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Goodyear Tire presents a combination of below-minimum business quality, declining revenue, two consecutive earnings misses in the most recent quarters, and confirmed technical weakness that makes it difficult to construct a credible investment case at current levels, with the stock offering essentially no upside to its near-term ceiling and an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Well Below Minimum→Stable
  • Revenue Decline Margin Pressure→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 10, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units;... Read more

$4.41+32.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#29 of 33 Auto Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield39.16%
Stop $4.10Analyst target $5.84(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst consensus$6.71+52.3%7 analysts
$5.84Analyst target
$4.41price
$6.71mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on 8k serious 2.05 and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:33Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.9
Profit Mgn-14.4%
ROE-61.5%
Rev Growth-4.8%
Beta1.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV66%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerOE customers19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our OE customers accounted for approximately 19% of our net sales in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Goodyear approved EMEA rationalization plan on March 16, 2026 reducing approximately 400 net positions across multiple countries. Pre-tax charges expected $100M-$110M with cash outflows over 2026-2029. Actions substantially complete by 2028; expected EMEA operating income improvement of $35M-$40M in 2028 and ~$50M annually thereafter.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.3
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
9.7
Gates8K SERIOUS 2.05EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.09Resistance $5.09

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+32.5%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.10. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GT stock price target?

Analyst target: $5.84 (+32.5% upside). Prior stop was $4.10. Stop-loss: $4.10.

What are the risks of investing in GT?

Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is GT overvalued or undervalued?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GT?

20 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $7.

What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific —...

Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units; the company operates roughly 750 retail outlets and is one of the largest commercial truck tire retreaders globally.

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