Goodyear Tire presents a combination of below-minimum business quality, declining revenue, two consecutive earnings misses in the most recent quarters, and confirmed technical weakness that makes it difficult to construct a credible investment case at current levels, with the stock offering essentially no upside to its near-term ceiling and an unfavorable risk/reward.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Well Below Minimum→Stable
- Revenue Decline Margin Pressure→Stable
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality.
Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units;... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-13Recent Developments — The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp
Latest news
- NEWS Perfect Stocks Portfolio: August 2026 Edition — benzinga Aug 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS David Tepper's Latest AI Bet Is CoreWeave — benzinga Aug 17, 2026 positive
- NEWS JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Goodyear Tire & Rubber, Raises Price Target to $10 — benzinga Aug 7, 2026 positive
- NEWS Goodyear Tire & Rubber Q2 Adj. EPS $(0.61) Beats $(0.62) Estimate, Sales $4.250B Beat $4.117B Estimate — benzinga Aug 5, 2026 positive
- NEWS Goodyear Tire & Rubber To Permanently Shutdown Fayetteville, North Carolina Production Site; Plan Includes ~1,750 Job Cu — benzinga Jul 21, 2026 negative
Generated 2026-09-14T05:21:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerOE customers19%10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our OE customers accounted for approximately 19% of our net sales in 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUMGoodyear approved EMEA rationalization plan on March 16, 2026 reducing approximately 400 net positions across multiple countries. Pre-tax charges expected $100M-$110M with cash outflows over 2026-2029. Actions substantially complete by 2028; expected EMEA operating income improvement of $35M-$40M in 2028 and ~$50M annually thereafter.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.41: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $5.19. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $6.49 (+20.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.19. Stop-loss: $5.19.
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $7.
What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific —...
Goodyear Tire & Rubber manufactures and sells tires across three global segments — Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific — with net sales of $18,280 million and a net loss of $1,721 million in 2025, operating 49 plants in 19 countries. Approximately 84% of 2025 sales were tire units; the company operates roughly 750 retail outlets and is one of the largest commercial truck tire retreaders globally.