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GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompSell4.7·$5.85+2.45%
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The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.85: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia Pacific—recording $18.28B net sales and a $1.72B net loss in 2025. Revenue comes from replacement and OE tire sales manufactured in 49 facilities across 19 countries;... Read more

$5.85+11.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#25 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield8.74%
Stop $5.39Target $6.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$7.46+27.5%7 analysts
$6.49our TP
$5.85price
$7.46mean
$9

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.85: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.6
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA7.9
Profit Mgn-11.6%
ROE-50.0%
Rev Growth-8.7%
Beta1.14
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV74%elevated
Max Pain$13+122.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 2.05MEDIUM
    EMEA rationalization plan approved March 16, 2026: net reduction of ~400 positions across multiple EMEA countries ($100-110M total charges, ~$35-40M annual EBITDA improvement in 2028). Substantially complete by 2028.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Roa
0.6
Moat
2.5
Current Ratio
4.1
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
9.6

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
Gates8K SERIOUS 2.05Momentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.1>=4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.43Resistance $6.45

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+10.9%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! 8K_SERIOUS:2.05

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.85: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $5.39. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.49 (+11.9% upside). Prior stop was $5.39. Stop-loss: $5.39.

What are the risks of investing in GT?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is GT overvalued or undervalued?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GT?

22 analysts cover GT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $7.

What does The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp do?Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia...

Goodyear is one of the world's largest tire manufacturers with three segments—Americas (largest), EMEA, and Asia Pacific—recording $18.28B net sales and a $1.72B net loss in 2025. Revenue comes from replacement and OE tire sales manufactured in 49 facilities across 19 countries; ~63,000 employees worldwide. The company completed its Goodyear Forward transformation plan in 2025 delivering ~$1.5B in run-rate cost savings.

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