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GSBDGoldman Sachs BDC, Inc.Sell5.3·$9.24+1.76%
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Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.24 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in middle market and mezzanine investment in private companies. It seeks to make capital appreciation through direct originations of secured debt, senior secured debt, junior secured debt, including first... Read more

$9.24-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#70 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.26%
IncomeYield10.71%(5y avg 11.95%)Payout223.44%at-risk
Stop $8.86Target $9.07(resistance)A.R:R -2.9:1
Analyst target$8.88-4.0%4 analysts
$9.07our TP
$9.24price
$8.88mean
$8
$10

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.24 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.4
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$1.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-18.7%
Beta0.64
Dividend10.71%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.8
Quality Rank
3.3
Value Rank
6.2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
7.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
3.5
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -2.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.65Resistance $9.26

Price Targets

$9
$9
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-18.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GSBD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.24 — A.R:R is negative (-2.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $8.86. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GSBD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.07 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.86. Stop-loss: $8.86.

What are the risks of investing in GSBD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is GSBD overvalued or undervalued?

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.4 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GSBD?

10 analysts cover GSBD with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. do?Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in middle market and mezzanine investment in...

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. is a business development company specializing in middle market and mezzanine investment in private companies. It seeks to make capital appreciation through direct originations of secured debt, senior secured debt, junior secured debt, including first lien, first lien/last-out unitranche and second lien debt, unsecured debt, including mezzanine debt and, to a lesser extent, investments in equities. The fund primarily invests in United States. It seeks to invest between $10 million and $75 million in companies with EBITDA between $5 million and $75 million annually.

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