Value
7.8/10data confidence 83%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.2 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.1x
- ▸PEG: 0.11
- ▸Attractively valued
GSBD · Why this verdict
Why Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 1.7 |
| ROA | 3.3 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 0.6 |
| FCF quality | 9.3 |
| Moat | 4.6 |
| Rule of 40 | 3.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Strong margins: 21%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 130% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Rule of 40: 9 (fail)
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -19%
Momentum
2.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 4.5 |
| MACD | 6.2 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.7 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.8/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 6.5 |
| holder change | 5.2 |
- ▸Modest insider buying — $451,035 (0.045% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
2.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 6.2 |
| quality rank | 3.3 |
| growth rank | 0.8 |
Technical
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 6.7 |
| support resistance | 7.8 |
| 52w position | 6.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.0 |
| days to cover | 6.0 |
| volatility | 6.9 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.2 |
| debt equity | 4.2 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.62
- ▸Above max pain $2
Catalyst
3.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 3.5 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Market cap $1.00B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L1:HARD_BLOCKPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-3.0=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
-2.97
Upside
-14.9%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $1.0B<$5B
Investment implication
The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Value at 7.8 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.7<4.5.
The strongest dimensions are Value at 7.8, Technical at 7.1, and Quality at 5.9; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.6, Momentum at 2.7, and Catalyst at 3.8. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.97 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.