Groupon's setup is deteriorating across several engine checks: quality sits right at the minimum floor, the technical setup shows late-cycle overbought distribution risk, the asymmetry gate has failed with a negative modeled risk/reward, and short interest remains elevated - together consistent with the recommendation to exit the position.
Thesis pillars
- Quality At The Floor Threshold→Stable
- Late Cycle Overbought Momentum→Stable
- Negative Asymmetry Gate Failure→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.97; Below-average business quality.
Groupon is a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Consumers access our marketplace through our mobile applications and our websites, which are primarily localized groupon.com sites in thirteen countries. We operate in two segments, North... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.97; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and 8k serious 2.05. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-08Recent Developments — Groupon, Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jun 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 8, 2026, Groupon, Inc.
Generated 2026-07-08T21:03:53Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Principal Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Principal Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 8, 2026, Groupon, Inc.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-26Item 2.05MEDIUMCosts Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On May 21, 2026, the Board of Directors of Groupon, Inc.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-26Item 5.02MEDIUMGroupon, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | | | | Delaware | | 27-0903295 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) | | (I.R.S.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Volatile — 7.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $25.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 56%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.97; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.74. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.43 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $23.74. Stop-loss: $23.74.
Target reached (-12.3% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
Groupon, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover GRPN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.
What does Groupon, Inc. do?Groupon is a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Consumers access our marketplace...
Groupon is a global scaled two-sided marketplace that connects consumers to merchants. Consumers access our marketplace through our mobile applications and our websites, which are primarily localized groupon.com sites in thirteen countries. We operate in two segments, North America and International, and in three categories, Local, Goods and Travel. See Item 8, Note 19, Segment and Geographical Information, for additional information.