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EVEREverQuote, Inc.Buy Wait6.8·$24.80-1.86%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EverQuote pairs a perfect earnings-beat streak and cheap compounder-quality metrics with a short-squeeze setup, but the stock has already reached its analyst target and momentum looks stretched at a late-cycle extreme.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Cheap Multiple Strong CompounderStable
  • Upside Exhausted Analyst TargetStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EverQuote, Inc. (EVER) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait for pullback to $23.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $24.80. Engine's entry $23.46 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: automotive insurance revenue (91.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

EverQuote operates an online marketplace connecting consumers shopping for auto, home, and renters insurance with roughly 60 insurance carriers and 6,000 agents through a data- and technology-driven referral platform, earning revenue by selling consumer inquiries as referrals... Read more

$24.80+14.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#3 of 36 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.50%
Entry $23.46(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $20.86Target $26.91(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$26.20+5.6%5 analysts
$26.91our TP
$24.80price
$26.20mean
$23
$30

Wait for pullback to $23.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $24.80. Engine's entry $23.46 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: automotive insurance revenue (91.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About EverQuote, Inc.

About EverQuote, Inc.

EverQuote runs an online insurance marketplace that generates revenue by referring qualified consumer inquiries to roughly 60 carriers and 6,000 agents, with automotive insurance referrals alone accounting for 91% of total revenue in 2025 versus 89% in 2024. The company's two largest insurance-carrier customers made up 38% and 11% of 2025 revenue, respectively, and its marketplace reaches consumers through owned websites, a call center, and third-party publisher traffic.

EverQuote's revenue model is purely referral-based: insurance providers pay for consumer inquiries delivered as clicks, data leads, or calls, with no long-term minimum spend commitments, so carriers and agents can reduce or halt marketing spend at any time without notice. A meaningful share of that spend flows through subsidy payments carriers make on behalf of their affiliated agents — one large carrier customer stopped paying such subsidies altogether in 2023 before partially resuming in 2024. Consumer traffic comes from EverQuote's own websites and call center as well as third-party publishers and verified partners, and a significant portion of total revenue is attributable to visitor traffic originating from those third-party sources rather than owned-and-operated channels, making the business sensitive to publisher pricing and inventory availability. The company has begun extending its data and matching technology from auto insurance into home and renters insurance to diversify beyond its core vertical.

Show full overview

EverQuote's revenue is exposed less to consumer churn than to a small number of large insurance-carrier relationships and the underlying automotive-insurance cycle: 91% of 2025 revenue came from automotive coverage, and the two largest carrier customers alone supplied 38% and 11% of total revenue with no contractual minimum spend obligating either to continue. That combination proved material in 2023, when carriers pulled back marketing budgets industry-wide amid deteriorating underwriting performance and one top customer suspended agent-subsidy payments outright — a pattern the 10-K flags could recur rapidly and without warning given how quickly carriers can reduce their marketplace spend.

See also: Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

From EverQuote, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: automotive insurance revenue (91.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Overbought (RSI 75)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$928M
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn15.3%
ROE56.4%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductautomotive insurance revenue91%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenue from automotive insurance providers accounted for 91% and 89% of our total revenue for 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlargest insurance carrier customer38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenue from our two largest insurance carrier customers was 38% and 11%, respectively, of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • LOWCustomersecond-largest insurance carrier customer11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Revenue from our two largest insurance carrier customers was 38% and 11%, respectively, of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierthird-party publisher traffic
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenue is attributable to visitor traffic originating from third-party publishers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.10Resistance $27.46

Price Targets

$21
$23
$27
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVER stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $23.46. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $24.80. Engine's entry $23.46 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: automotive insurance revenue (91.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-8.1% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $26.91 (+8.5%), stop $20.86 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVER stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.91 (+14.2% upside). Target $26.91 (+8.5%), stop $20.86 (−18.9%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $20.86.

What are the risks of investing in EVER?

Concentration risk — Product: automotive insurance revenue (91.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Overbought (RSI 75).

Is EVER overvalued or undervalued?

EverQuote, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EVER?

13 analysts cover EVER with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $26.

What does EverQuote, Inc. do?EverQuote operates an online marketplace connecting consumers shopping for auto, home, and renters insurance with...

EverQuote operates an online marketplace connecting consumers shopping for auto, home, and renters insurance with roughly 60 insurance carriers and 6,000 agents through a data- and technology-driven referral platform, earning revenue by selling consumer inquiries as referrals with no minimum spend commitment from providers. Automotive insurance referrals made up 91% of 2025 revenue, and the two largest carrier customers alone accounted for 38% and 11% of total revenue, respectively. A significant share of visitor traffic is sourced from third-party publishers rather than owned channels.

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