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GPCGenuine Parts CompanySell4.6·$105.06+1.26%
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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $105.06: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer... Read more

$105.06+9.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#24 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.23%
IncomeYield4.10%(5y avg 2.76%)Payout943.75%at-risk
Stop $99.94Target $115.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$132.43+26.1%7 analysts
$115.21our TP
$105.06price
$132.43mean
$145

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $105.06: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Genuine Parts Company

Latest news

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)235.8
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.68
Dividend4.10%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$160+52.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 18, 2026, Naveen Krishna, the Executive Vice President, Chief Information & Digital Officer of Genuine Parts Company (the "Company"), notified the Company of his intent to resign from the Company to pursue other opportunities. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
4.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
4.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.2

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 410.0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Roe
0.4
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
3.0
Gross Margin
3.5
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.80Resistance $105.78

Price Targets

$100
$115
A.Upside+9.7%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $105.06: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $99.94. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.21 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $99.94. Stop-loss: $99.94.

What are the risks of investing in GPC?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is GPC overvalued or undervalued?

Genuine Parts Company trades at a P/E of 235.8 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GPC?

18 analysts cover GPC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Genuine Parts Company do?Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions....

Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer outstanding service, an industry-leading assortment of replacement parts, extensive supply chain and distribution capabilities, and enhanced technology solutions.

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