Genuine Parts carries an attractive forward valuation but falls just short of the quality floor, sits in a confirmed long-term downtrend with an overbought technical reading, and generates a risk/reward ratio below the minimum asymmetry bar—leaving the setup better suited to observation than new capital commitment.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Marginally Below Floor↓Deteriorating
- Confirmed Downtrend Overbought Rally↓Deteriorating
- Elevated Put Call Hedging↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.39 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0).
Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.39 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Genuine Parts Company
Latest news
- NEWS Genuine Parts (GPC) Gains Amid Positive Futures and Inflation Wa - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Genuine Parts Co. stock underperforms Tuesday when compared to competitors - MarketWatch — MarketWatch negative
- NEWS Genuine Parts (NYSE:GPC) Stock Price Down 4.3% - Should You Sell? - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Genuine Parts Company Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS GPC Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Automotive Margin Pressure - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:39Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-09-09Item 5.02MEDIUMAppointment of Court Carruthers as Chief Executive Officer-Elect of the Company On September 9, 2026, Genuine Parts Company (the "Company") announced that Court Carruthers, a current member of the Company's Board of Directors (the "Board"), has been appointed Chief Executive Officer-Elect of the ...SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $121.39 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $116.57. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $121.80 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $116.57. Stop-loss: $116.57.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Genuine Parts Company trades at a P/E of 466.9 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
17 analysts cover GPC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $140.
What does Genuine Parts Company do?Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions....
Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer outstanding service, an industry-leading assortment of replacement parts, extensive supply chain and distribution capabilities, and enhanced technology solutions.