Skip to main content
GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.Sell5.1·$46.11
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

GlobalFoundries has demonstrated a perfect four-quarter beat streak with rising estimates and exceptional cash conversion, but an expensive valuation with the stock having already reached a prior target level and 18% short interest limit the near-term asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Limits Near Term Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising Estimates→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellShortHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$46.11+45.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#46 of 53 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.95%
IncomeYield1.07%Payout9.38%sustainable
Stop $42.88Analyst target $66.93(−10% haircut)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst consensus$74.36+61.3%22 analysts
$66.93Analyst target
$46.11price
$74.36mean
$140

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.0
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$25.7B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn10.3%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.76
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV71%elevated
Max Pain$25-45.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.80Resistance $51.45

Price Targets

$43
$67
A.Upside+45.1%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $46.11 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $42.88. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Analyst target: $66.93 (+45.1% upside). Prior stop was $42.88. Stop-loss: $42.88.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.0 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFS?

27 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $74.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions. GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing; and Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited to accelerate utility-scale quantum manufacturing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.) · CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding )
Home › Stocks › GFS

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance92d agoEarnings
TipRanks92d agoProduct
Seeking Alpha85d ago
Benzinga85d ago
Yahoo Finance85d ago
Quiver Quantitative85d agoEarnings
Quiverquant.com85d agoEarnings
Investor's Business Daily177d ago
Seeking Alpha177d ago
Yahoo Finance177d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance UK177d ago
Quiver Quantitative177d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com177d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance91d ago
Simplywall.st84d ago
Webull.com88d ago
TechStock²89d agoEarnings
Investing.com178d ago
Barron's178d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha178d agoProduct
Loading more...