Skip to main content
GFSGlobalFoundries Inc.Sell5.0·$50.24+6.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

GlobalFoundries has demonstrated a perfect four-quarter beat streak with rising estimates and exceptional cash conversion, but an expensive valuation with the stock having already reached a prior target level and 18% short interest limit the near-term asymmetry.

Thesis pillars

  • Valuation Limits Near Term UpsideDeteriorating
  • Perfect Beat Streak Rising EstimatesStable
  • Exceptional Cash ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Stock Analysis

SellShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 6 days (2026-08-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application... Read more

$50.24+44.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#44 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.62%
IncomeYield0.98%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $46.40Target $72.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$80.24+59.7%21 analysts
$72.21our TP
$50.24price
$80.24mean
$125

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30

Recent Developments — GlobalFoundries Inc.

Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 45%
Risks
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.1
P/E (Fwd)18.7
Mkt Cap$25.8B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE6.8%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta1.76
Dividend0.98%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.67bearish
IV94%elevated
Max Pain$40-20.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+11.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.39Resistance $77.59

Price Targets

$46
$72
A.Upside+44.7%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $46.40. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.21 (+44.7% upside). Prior stop was $46.40. Stop-loss: $46.40.

What are the risks of investing in GFS?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is GFS overvalued or undervalued?

GlobalFoundries Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.1 (forward 18.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GFS?

26 analysts cover GFS with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $80.

What does GlobalFoundries Inc. do?GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies...

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions. GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.

Related stocks: CRDO (Credo Technology Group Holding ) · MPWR (Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.) · CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) · ADI (Analog Devices, Inc.) · TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated)
Home Stocks GFS

Latest news

Latest News

Investor's Business Daily86d ago
Seeking Alpha86d ago
Yahoo Finance86d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance UK86d ago
Quiver Quantitative86d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com86d agoEarnings
Investing.com87d ago
Barron's87d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha87d agoProduct
MSN88d ago
Yahoo Finance90d agoEarnings
Benzinga2d agoProduct
Benzinga22d agoProduct
Benzinga22d ago
Benzinga24d ago
Benzinga37d agoProduct
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga57d agoProduct
Benzinga57d ago
Benzinga59d agoProduct
Loading more...