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General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $346.04 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%).

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets), Marine Systems (U.S. Navy ships and submarines), Combat Systems (land vehicles and munitions), and Technologies (IT and mission systems). Revenue is approximately... Read more

$346.04+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $328.20Target $353.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$393.07+13.6%21 analysts
$353.77our TP
$346.04price
$393.07mean
$327
$444

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $346.04 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.6
P/E (Fwd)19.1
Mkt Cap$93.1B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.39
Dividend1.77%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV32%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 70% of our consolidated revenue was from the U.S. government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $306.77Resistance $350.21

Price Targets

$328
$354
A.Upside+2.2%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.2% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $346.04 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $328.20. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $353.77 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $328.20. Stop-loss: $328.20.

What are the risks of investing in GD?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is GD overvalued or undervalued?

General Dynamics Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.6 (forward 19.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GD?

33 analysts cover GD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $393.

What does General Dynamics Corporation do?General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets),...

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets), Marine Systems (U.S. Navy ships and submarines), Combat Systems (land vehicles and munitions), and Technologies (IT and mission systems). Revenue is approximately 70% from the U.S. government.

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