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GDGeneral Dynamics CorporationSell5.6·$345.68+1.41%
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General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $345.68 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%).

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet Aviation), Marine Systems (nuclear submarines, destroyers), Combat Systems (Abrams tanks, Stryker vehicles), and Technologies (GDIT IT services, Mission... Read more

$345.68+2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#17 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.74%
IncomeYield1.87%(5y avg 2.05%)Payout38.33%sustainable
Stop $333.78Target $352.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$392.22+13.5%21 analysts
$352.99our TP
$345.68price
$392.22mean
$313
$444

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $345.68 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.5
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$92.2B
EV/EBITDA15.1
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE18.0%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.34
Dividend1.87%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV35%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government70%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 70% of our consolidated revenue was from the U.S. government.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $333.29Resistance $351.36

Price Targets

$334
$353
A.Upside+2.1%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.1% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $345.68 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $333.78. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $352.99 (+2.1% upside). Prior stop was $333.78. Stop-loss: $333.78.

What are the risks of investing in GD?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is GD overvalued or undervalued?

General Dynamics Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.5 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GD?

33 analysts cover GD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $392.

What does General Dynamics Corporation do?General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet...

General Dynamics is a global aerospace and defense company with four segments: Aerospace (Gulfstream business jets, Jet Aviation), Marine Systems (nuclear submarines, destroyers), Combat Systems (Abrams tanks, Stryker vehicles), and Technologies (GDIT IT services, Mission Systems). Approximately 70% of consolidated revenue came from the U.S. government in 2025.

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