GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the GCMG stock price target?

Take-profit $12.32 (+11.6% upside). Target $12.32 (+11.6%), stop $10.30 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum; Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum; Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is GCMG overvalued or undervalued?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about GCMG?

12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Financial Services · Asset Management

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum.

$11.04+11.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#20 of 109 Asset Management

Stop $10.30Target $12.32(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1

Analyst target$14.50+31.3%4 analysts

$12.32our TP

$11.04price

$14.50mean

$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.0

P/E (Fwd)10.3

Mkt Cap$649M

EV/EBITDA7.3

Profit Mgn8.2%

ROE765.9%

Rev Growth6.8%

Beta0.88

Dividend4.40%

Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV47%normal

Max Pain$3-77.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.915%1.19

Quality7.515%1.13

Growth7.115%1.06

Momentum5.310%0.53

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.310%0.43

Technical Setup3.45%0.17

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.16

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

0.8

Bollinger

2.4

52w Position

7.1

GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

72 · Overbought

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.49Resistance $11.17

Price Targets

$10

$12

A.Upside+11.6%

A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is GCMG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 72. Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.32 (+11.6%), stop $10.30 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GCMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.32 (+11.6% upside). Target $12.32 (+11.6%), stop $10.30 (−7.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $10.30.

What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Market cap $0.65B below $1B minimum.

Is GCMG overvalued or undervalued?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.0 (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GCMG?

12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does GCM Grosvenor Inc. do?GCM Grosvenor is an alternative asset management firm with $90.9B AUM across private equity ($32.9B), infrastructure...

GCM Grosvenor is an alternative asset management firm with $90.9B AUM across private equity ($32.9B), infrastructure ($18.7B), real estate ($7.2B), and absolute return strategies ($26.8B). Revenue is primarily management fees ($426M in 2025) and carried interest from institutional and individual clients; the firm specializes in customized separate account solutions with client relationships frequently spanning decades.