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GCMGGCM Grosvenor Inc.Hold6.2·$11.23-0.80%
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GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum.

GCM Grosvenor is a global alternative asset manager with $90.9B AUM across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, absolute return strategies, and alternative credit. Total management fees were $426M and total operating revenues were $558M in 2025; 71% of AUM is in private... Read more

$11.23+7.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#19 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield16.88%
IncomeYield4.24%(5y avg 4.19%)Payout92.00%at-risk
Stop $10.47Target $12.11(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$14.25+26.9%4 analysts
$12.11our TP
$11.23price
$14.25mean
$18

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%)
Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$684M
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE986.8%
Rev Growth-1.2%
Beta0.87
Dividend4.24%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV168%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductPrivate Markets71%
    10-K Item 1: 'Private Markets represents $64.1 billion of AUM, or 71% of total AUM.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
7.6
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.73Resistance $11.41

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+7.8%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GCMG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $12.11 (+7.8%), stop $10.47 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GCMG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.11 (+7.8% upside). Target $12.11 (+7.8%), stop $10.47 (−7.3%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $10.47.

What are the risks of investing in GCMG?

Concentration risk — Product: Private Markets (71.0%); Market cap $0.68B below $1B minimum.

Is GCMG overvalued or undervalued?

GCM Grosvenor Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about GCMG?

12 analysts cover GCMG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does GCM Grosvenor Inc. do?GCM Grosvenor is a global alternative asset manager with $90.9B AUM across private equity, infrastructure, real estate,...

GCM Grosvenor is a global alternative asset manager with $90.9B AUM across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, absolute return strategies, and alternative credit. Total management fees were $426M and total operating revenues were $558M in 2025; 71% of AUM is in private markets strategies.

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