A leisure business trading at over 50 times forward earnings carries below-minimum business quality, a 2-and-2 earnings record over the past year, and 21% short interest — with only 2.6% headroom to the near-term price ceiling and a risk/reward of 0.37-to-1, the setup offers no margin of safety despite a constructive near-term price chart.
Thesis pillars
- Below Minimum Business Quality→Stable
- Erratic Earnings Track Record↑Improving
- Heavy Short Interest And Elevated Iv↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality.
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Six Flags Entertainment Corpora
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jul 2, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
- 8K Jul 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | | | (Registrant) | | | Date: | July 1, 2026 | By: | /s/ Christopher L. Bennett | | | Christopher L. Bennett Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and Secretary
Latest news
- NEWS Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $28 — benzinga Jul 24, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Six Flags Entertainment, Lowers Price Target to $19 — benzinga Jul 10, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Tesla, Ford And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Monday — benzinga Jul 6, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Six Flags Entertainment Appoints Mark Pauls As COO, Effective July 15, Succeeding Tim Fisher — benzinga Jul 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Citizens Initiates Coverage On Six Flags Entertainment with Market Outperform Rating, Announces Price Target of $29 — benzinga Jun 29, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-02Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-07-01Item 5.02MEDIUMSIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | | | (Registrant) | | | Date: | July 1, 2026 | By: | /s/ Christopher L. Bennett | | | Christopher L. Bennett Chief Legal and Compliance Officer and SecretarySEC filing →
- 2026-05-27Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-20Item 5.02MEDIUMDelaware | | 001-42157 | | 93-4097909 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File No.) | | (I.R.S.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.35: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.07. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.42 (+22.2% upside). Prior stop was $17.07. Stop-loss: $17.07.
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 42.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $26.
What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.