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FTSFortis Inc.Sell4.6·$57.31
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Fortis has delivered mostly positive earnings results — three beats out of the last four quarters — with constructive technical momentum, but free cash flow is negative, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially unsafe, and the stock has already risen above its near-term technical resistance target with an unfavorable risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Mostly On Track→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow→Stable
  • Dividend Sustainability Risk→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Fortis Inc. (FTS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 4 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.31 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away).

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson... Read more

$57.31-21.4% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#34 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-9.27%
IncomeYield3.21%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout74.56%
Stop $55.65Analyst target $45.05(reached)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst consensus$53.00-7.5%2 analysts
$57.31price
$53.00mean
$50

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.31 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.5% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$29.3B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn14.7%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta0.41
Dividend3.21%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.43bearish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$35-38.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.4
Revenue Growth
3.5
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.21Resistance $58.05

Price Targets

A.Upside-21.4%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.31 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.65. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTS stock price target?

Analyst target $45.05 reached (−21.4% from $57.31); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $55.65. Stop-loss: $55.65.

What are the risks of investing in FTS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.5% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Is FTS overvalued or undervalued?

Fortis Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FTS?

19 analysts cover FTS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Fortis Inc. do?Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries....

Fortis Inc. operates as an electric and gas utility company in Canada, the United States, and the Caribbean countries. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to approximately 459,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona, including the greater Tucson metropolitan area; and 107,000 retail customers in southeastern Arizona with an aggregate capacity of 3, 443 megawatts (MW). It also sells wholesale electricity to other entities in the western United States; owns gas-fired and hydroelectric generating capacity totaling 43 MW; and distributes natural gas to approximately 1,105,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in British Columbia, Canada. In addition, it owns and operates the electricity distribution system that serves approximately 615,000 customers in southern and central Alberta; owns four hydroelectric generating facilities with a combined capacity of 225 MW; and provides operation, maintenance, and management services to hydroelectric generating facilities. Further, the company distributes electricity in the island portion of Newfoundland and Labrador with an installed generating capacity of 145 MW; and on Prince Edward Island with a generating capacity of 90 MW. Additionally, it provides integrated electric utility service to approximately 70,000 customers in Ontario; approximately 280,000 customers in Newfoundland; approximately 35,000 customers on Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands; and approximately 92,000 customers on Maritime Electric. It also owns and operates approximately 91,100 circuit Kilometers (km) of distribution lines; and approximately 51,700 km of natural gas pipelines. Fortis Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in St. John's, Canada.

Related stocks: ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.) · NWE (NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.) · EIX (Edison International) · PPL (PPL Corporation)
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