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FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.Sell5.3·$137.26-2.23%
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Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Geographic: Kazakhstan.

Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based financial holding company providing securities brokerage, retail and commercial banking (Freedom Bank KZ, top-8 by assets with $4.4B total assets), and insurance (Freedom Life, 25% Kazakhstan life insurance market share) with 683,000... Read more

$137.26+14.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 4 Financial Conglomerates
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $130.67Target $157.50(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Geographic: Kazakhstan. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14

Recent Developments — Freedom Holding Corp.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Kazakhstan
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.1
P/E (Fwd)30.7
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE11.3%
Rev Growth146.7%
Beta0.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$250+82.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicKazakhstan
    10-K Item 1: 'The main market of our operations is Kazakhstan'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $134.71Resistance $160.71

Price Targets

$131
$158
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FRHC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.26 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Concentration risk — Geographic: Kazakhstan. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $130.67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FRHC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $157.50 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $130.67. Stop-loss: $130.67.

What are the risks of investing in FRHC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Kazakhstan; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is FRHC overvalued or undervalued?

Freedom Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 55.1 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Freedom Holding Corp. do?Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based financial holding company providing securities brokerage, retail and...

Freedom Holding Corp. is a Kazakhstan-based financial holding company providing securities brokerage, retail and commercial banking (Freedom Bank KZ, top-8 by assets with $4.4B total assets), and insurance (Freedom Life, 25% Kazakhstan life insurance market share) with 683,000 brokerage accounts. Fiscal 2025 total revenue was $2.05B across Brokerage, Banking, Insurance, and Other segments.

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