Hilltop Holdings Inc. (HTH) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Hilltop Holdings is a Texas-based financial holding company operating banking ($12.7B assets), broker-dealer, and mortgage origination (PrimeLending) segments. Revenue derives from net interest income on Texas-concentrated commercial and real estate loans, broker-dealer fees,... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Hilltop Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Full Transcript: Hilltop Hldgs Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga Apr 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Hilltop Hldgs Q1 EPS $0.64 Beats $0.52 Estimate, Sales $112.097M Beat $110.151M Estimate. — benzinga Apr 23, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Scheduled For April 23, 2026 — benzinga Apr 23, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Earnings Volatility Watch: 10 Stocks With Implied Moves Over 20% Post-Earnings — benzinga Apr 20, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -3.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 51, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $35.90. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.98 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $35.90. Stop-loss: $35.90.
Target reached (-11.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).
Hilltop Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 16.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover HTH with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $40.
What does Hilltop Holdings Inc. do?Hilltop Holdings is a Texas-based financial holding company operating banking ($12.7B assets), broker-dealer, and...
Hilltop Holdings is a Texas-based financial holding company operating banking ($12.7B assets), broker-dealer, and mortgage origination (PrimeLending) segments. Revenue derives from net interest income on Texas-concentrated commercial and real estate loans, broker-dealer fees, and mortgage origination gains. The Bank conducts substantially all operations in Texas while PrimeLending originates in all 50 states.