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FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.Sell5.3·$140.38+0.99%
FRHC · Why this verdict

Why Freedom Holding (FRHC) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

5.9/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
P/E2.2
P/S6.7
Fwd P/E3.8
PEG10.0
  • Forward P/E: 30.9x
  • PEG: 0.39

Quality

4.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE3.8
ROA0.9
Gross margin10.0
Op margin0.0
Net margin4.7
Current ratio4.7
Moat6.4
Piotroski F7.8
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 147% YoY

Momentum

2.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD0.0
OBV1.0
MA position1.0
Volume4.2
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

5.0/10data confidence 33%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0

Insider

3.8/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
materiality4.5
insider conviction2.0
holder change5.0
  • Modest insider selling — $2,611,990 (0.031% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.1/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank0.0
quality rank3.8
growth rank7.5

Technical

6.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger7.2
support resistance7.8
52w position4.5

Risk (lower is worse)

4.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.3
days to cover0.0
volatility0.0
put call7.1
implied vol2.1
beta9.0
debt equity3.7
  • High IV: 68%
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

3.9/10data confidence 75%
ComponentSub-score
earnings history1.1
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg5.7
  • Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:60d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5
Warning (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)
Reward-to-Risk
0.00
Upside
+0.0%
Downside
12.7%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupUNKNOWN No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 10.0) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:2.1<4.5) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.00 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Technical at 6.5, and Value at 5.9; the weakest are Momentum at 2.1, Insider at 3.8, and Catalyst at 3.9. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.00 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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