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FFIVF5, Inc.Hold5.2·$396.06-0.03%
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F5, Inc. (FFIV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single contract manufacturer; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

F5, Inc. provides multicloud application delivery and security solutions (BIG-IP, NGINX, Distributed Cloud Services) to large enterprises, governments, and service providers globally. Hardware is manufactured exclusively by a single contract manufacturer and distributed through... Read more

$396.06+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#61 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.40%
Stop $368.09Target $403.28(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$409.00+3.3%10 analysts
$403.28our TP
$396.06price
$409.00mean
$300
$490

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single contract manufacturer; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single contract manufacturer
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.5
P/E (Fwd)22.4
Mkt Cap$22.4B
EV/EBITDA23.4
Profit Mgn22.0%
ROE20.3%
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta1.05
DividendNone
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$210-47.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle contract manufacturer
    10-K Item 1A: 'we currently subcontract manufacturing of our products to a single contract manufacturer'
  • MEDIUMCustomertwo worldwide distributors33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'two worldwide distributors of our products accounted for 33.3% of our total net revenue for fiscal year 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02LOW
    Anand Eswaran appointed to F5 Board of Directors effective April 24, 2026, assigned to Audit and Talent & Compensation Committees. Standard non-executive board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02LOW
    At March 12, 2026 annual meeting, shareholders approved the F5 2026 Incentive Award Plan (3.5M new shares) and Non-Employee Director Compensation Program. Compensatory arrangement changes; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $370.74Resistance $411.51

Price Targets

$368
$403
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FFIV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $396.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single contract manufacturer; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $403.28 (+1.8%), stop $368.09 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the FFIV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $403.28 (+1.9% upside). Target $403.28 (+1.8%), stop $368.09 (−7.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $368.09.

What are the risks of investing in FFIV?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single contract manufacturer; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Is FFIV overvalued or undervalued?

F5, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.5 (forward 22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FFIV?

20 analysts cover FFIV with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $409.

What does F5, Inc. do?F5, Inc. provides multicloud application delivery and security solutions (BIG-IP, NGINX, Distributed Cloud Services) to...

F5, Inc. provides multicloud application delivery and security solutions (BIG-IP, NGINX, Distributed Cloud Services) to large enterprises, governments, and service providers globally. Hardware is manufactured exclusively by a single contract manufacturer and distributed through a small number of global distributors who account for 33.3% of net revenue.

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