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FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.Sell5.5·$241.16+1.91%
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FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Sell if holding. At $241.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%).

FactSet Research Systems is a global financial data platform providing analytics, data feeds, and workflow solutions to ~9,000 clients with 237K professional users. Revenue is 65% Americas, 25% EMEA, 10% Asia Pacific, primarily from multi-year subscriptions; buy-side clients... Read more

$241.16+10.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.72%
IncomeYield1.92%(5y avg 1.00%)Payout28.31%sustainable
Stop $224.28Target $266.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$252.25+4.6%16 analysts
$266.95our TP
$241.16price
$252.25mean
$200
$380

Sell if holding. At $241.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and finsvc regional cliff hard block. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 1, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: buy-side clients (82.0%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.5
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$8.8B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn24.5%
ROE28.1%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta0.71
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$100-58.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas65%
    10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from the Americas represented 65% of total revenues during fiscal 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerbuy-side clients82%
    10-K Item 1: 'Buy-side clients accounted for approximately 82% of our Organic ASV as of August 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMSupplierone cloud provider
    10-K Item 1: 'one supplier provided the majority of our cloud computing support for fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-08Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Helen Shan transitioning out effective April 13, 2026; Joshua Warren (former CFO of Envestnet, 2023-2025) appointed CFO starting April 13, 2026. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Kate Stepp named Chief AI Officer effective March 2, 2026; Bob Stolte assumed CTO role on same date. Role reorganization with successor named; no officer departure without replacement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.1
Revenue Growth
4.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.4
Support Resistance
4.5
Bollinger
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEFINSVC REGIONAL CLIFF HARD BLOCKDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $202.42Resistance $272.40

Price Targets

$224
$267
A.Upside+10.7%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! FINSVC_REGIONAL_CLIFF:HARD_BLOCK

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-01 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FDS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $241.16, A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $224.28. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FDS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $266.95 (+10.7% upside). Prior stop was $224.28. Stop-loss: $224.28.

What are the risks of investing in FDS?

Single-region cliff: 65% exposure to Americas (≥60% threshold). Regional macroeconomic shock = idiosyncratic terminal risk.; Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (65.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: buy-side clients (82.0%).

Is FDS overvalued or undervalued?

FactSet Research Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.5 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FDS?

27 analysts cover FDS with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $252.

What does FactSet Research Systems Inc. do?FactSet Research Systems is a global financial data platform providing analytics, data feeds, and workflow solutions to...

FactSet Research Systems is a global financial data platform providing analytics, data feeds, and workflow solutions to ~9,000 clients with 237K professional users. Revenue is 65% Americas, 25% EMEA, 10% Asia Pacific, primarily from multi-year subscriptions; buy-side clients account for ~82% of Organic ASV. Annual ASV retention exceeded 95%.

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