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FCPTFour Corners Property Trust, InSell5.5·$24.49-0.85%
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Four Corners Property Trust, In (FCPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.49 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden.

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual... Read more

$24.49+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#15 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.47%
IncomeYield5.94%(5y avg 5.21%)Payout130.00%
Stop $23.49Target $24.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$28.22+15.2%9 analysts
$24.55our TP
$24.49price
$28.22mean
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.49 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn38.7%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.82
Dividend5.94%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV89%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenantDarden45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Darden and Brinker International, Inc. ("Brinker") constituted approximately 44.7% and 6.6%, respectively, of our annual cash base rent'
  • HIGHTenantOlive Garden
    10-K Item 1A: 'our restaurant properties include 316 Olive Garden restaurants. As a result, our success... is dependent on the continued success of the Olive Garden brand'
  • LOWGeographicTexas10%
    10-K Item 1: 'properties in only one state, Texas, individually accounted for 10% or more of our total revenue at 10.0% of our total revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-01Item 5.02LOW
    Board elected Michael Friedland, age 66, as independent director effective April 1, 2026, to serve on Investment and Nominating/Governance Committees. Routine board appointment; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.87Resistance $25.48

Price Targets

$23
$25
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $24.49 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $23.49. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.55 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $23.49. Stop-loss: $23.49.

What are the risks of investing in FCPT?

Concentration risk — Tenant: Olive Garden; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is FCPT overvalued or undervalued?

Four Corners Property Trust, In trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FCPT?

15 analysts cover FCPT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Four Corners Property Trust, In do?Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased...

Four Corners Property Trust is a net lease REIT owning 1,303 restaurant and retail properties in 48 states, leased primarily to operators under triple-net arrangements. As of December 31, 2025, Darden Restaurants and Brinker International represented 44.7% and 6.6% of annual cash base rent, respectively; restaurant properties account for 74% of total revenues.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · SKT (Tanger Inc.) · BRX (Brixmor Property Group Inc.)
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