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FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc.Hold5.9·$2107.00-0.47%
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First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (FCNCA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2107.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank's assets, operating through First Citizens Bank and SVB commercial banking. Revenue comes from net interest income,... Read more

$2107.00+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#76 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield0.40%(5y avg 0.30%)Payout4.67%sustainable
Stop $2000.33Target $2112.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$2211.25+4.9%12 analysts
$2112.17our TP
$2107.00price
$2211.25mean
$2050
$2475

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2107.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$24.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth4.9%
Beta0.62
Dividend0.40%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$2220+5.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $1906.18Resistance $2155.28

Price Targets

$2000
$2112
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FCNCA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $2107.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $2112.17 (+0.2%), stop $2000.33 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FCNCA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $2112.17 (+0.2% upside). Target $2112.17 (+0.2%), stop $2000.33 (−5.3%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $2000.33.

What are the risks of investing in FCNCA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is FCNCA overvalued or undervalued?

First Citizens BancShares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FCNCA?

21 analysts cover FCNCA with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $2211.

What does First Citizens BancShares, Inc. do?First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the...

First Citizens BancShares is a top-20 U.S. bank holding company with approximately $220 billion in assets following the 2023 acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank's assets, operating through First Citizens Bank and SVB commercial banking. Revenue comes from net interest income, fee-based services, and capital markets activity across commercial, retail, and wealth management segments.

Related stocks: INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.) · CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · NIC (Nicolet Bankshares Inc.)
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