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Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $83.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: data centers and large load customers.

Evergy is a public utility holding company serving ~1.7 million customers in Kansas and Missouri through integrated regulated electric utility subsidiaries. Revenue comes from regulated retail electricity sales to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

$83.05+0.6% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#30 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
Stop $80.28Target $83.56(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$90.38+8.8%12 analysts
$83.56our TP
$83.05price
$90.38mean
$80
$99

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $83.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: data centers and large load customers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: data centers and large load customers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.6
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$19.1B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn14.4%
ROE8.6%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.60
Dividend3.36%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.36bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerdata centers and large load customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'data centers and large load customers interconnecting with Evergy's utility subsidiaries'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-11Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Evergy terminated its prior 55M unsecured Term Loan Credit Agreement with Bank of America on Feb 11, 2026, concurrent with entry into a new 500M term loan with Wells Fargo. No early termination penalties.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.21Resistance $85.27

Price Targets

$80
$84
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $83.05 — A.R:R is negative (-1.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: data centers and large load customers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $80.28. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EVRG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $83.56 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $80.28. Stop-loss: $80.28.

What are the risks of investing in EVRG?

Concentration risk — Customer: data centers and large load customers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is EVRG overvalued or undervalued?

Evergy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.6 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EVRG?

20 analysts cover EVRG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Evergy, Inc. do?Evergy is a public utility holding company serving ~1.7 million customers in Kansas and Missouri through integrated...

Evergy is a public utility holding company serving ~1.7 million customers in Kansas and Missouri through integrated regulated electric utility subsidiaries. Revenue comes from regulated retail electricity sales to residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

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