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EVREvercore Inc.Buy Wait6.4·$292.38
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality business with a wide economic moat, strong returns, and a four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 26.8% in upside surprise — but the stock has reached and exceeded its near-term resistance target with essentially no room left to that level, meaning new buyers are paying full price without the favorable entry geometry that made earlier positions attractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Cadence↑Improving
  • High Quality Business Fundamentals→Stable
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 20, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Evercore Inc. (EVR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)GrowthQualityShortHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait for pullback to $250.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $250.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the Investment Banking & Equities segment generating $3.69 billion — 98% of 2025 revenues. The company earns contingent advisory fees on M&A, restructuring, and capital... Read more

$292.38-0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#10 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.37%(5y avg 1.52%)Payout19.20%sustainable
Entry $250.76(support + ATR (held))Stop $238.11Analyst target $289.62(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$332.90+13.9%10 analysts
$292.38price
$332.90mean
$375

Wait for pullback to $250.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $250.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Evercore Inc.

About Evercore Inc.

Evercore's Investment Banking & Equities segment generated $3.69 billion in revenue in 2025, representing 98% of total revenues and up from $2.81 billion in 2024, with the firm completing 806 fee-paying advisory and underwriting transactions. The Investment Management segment contributed $87.4 million (2%), primarily through Evercore Wealth Management's $15.5 billion in AUM at year-end 2025. The company employed approximately 2,570 people across 33 cities globally.

Evercore earns most of its revenue from M&A advisory fees, which are typically contingent on transaction closing and constitute the largest share of Investment Banking & Equities income. Liability management and restructuring, capital markets advisory, and the Equities business (Evercore ISI, ranked #1 independent by Extel in 2025) serve as supplemental revenue streams, all expected to remain smaller than M&A for the foreseeable future. Revenue is highly episodic — large fees tied to closing milestones mean quarterly results fluctuate with deal timing, and the 10-K notes that losing even a small number of fee events could have a significant near-term financial effect. The firm competes against universal banks including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley, as well as independent advisors Centerview, Houlihan Lokey, Lazard, and Moelis. Evercore acquired Robey Warshaw, a U.K. advisory firm, in 2025, extending geographic reach to Stockholm, Sweden and Milan, Italy.

Show full overview

Evercore's principal U.S. broker-dealer, Evercore Group L.L.C. (EGL), is registered with the SEC and is a FINRA member, subject to the net capital rule (Rule 15c3-1) and the Market Access Rule (Rule 15c3-5). In the U.K., Evercore Partners International LLP and Evercore ISI International Limited are both authorized by the Financial Conduct Authority under FSMA, subject to higher capital requirements under the Investment Firm Prudential Regime effective January 1, 2022. Evercore Trust Company, N.A. is regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and is a Federal Reserve member bank. Non-compliance across these multi-jurisdictional frameworks could expose the firm to fines, suspension, or revocation of registrations.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Evercore Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.0
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE39.5%
Rev Growth18.8%
Beta1.51
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$195-33.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.5
Gap
3.0
52w Position
5.2
Extreme gap up (5.8%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $245.47Resistance $294.72

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EVR stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $250.76. Price sits above the model's entry target of $250.76; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 65. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $289.62 reached (−0.9%), stop $238.11 (−22.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the EVR stock price target?

Analyst target $289.62 reached (−0.9% from $292.38); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $289.62 reached (−0.9%), stop $238.11 (−22.8%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $238.11.

What are the risks of investing in EVR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is EVR overvalued or undervalued?

Evercore Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EVR?

15 analysts cover EVR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $333.

What does Evercore Inc. do?Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the...

Evercore provides investment banking advisory, equities research and trading, and wealth management, with the Investment Banking & Equities segment generating $3.69 billion — 98% of 2025 revenues. The company earns contingent advisory fees on M&A, restructuring, and capital markets transactions for corporate clients and financial sponsors, operating across 33 cities globally with roughly 2,570 employees.

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