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ESTAEstablishment Labs Holdings IncSell5.2·$79.82+6.65%
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Establishment Labs Holdings Inc (ESTA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5High Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier.

Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and reconstruction, registered in 100+ countries including the U.S. (FDA PMA approved September 2024). Revenue is predominantly from Motiva Implant sales; newer products... Read more

$79.82-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#29 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.26%
Stop $74.23Target $78.68(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$90.11+12.9%9 analysts
$78.68our TP
$79.82price
$90.11mean
$76
$100

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Establishment Labs Holdings Inc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.2% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)997.9
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA-127.1
Profit Mgn-19.1%
ROE-164.0%
Rev Growth44.7%
Beta1.11
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$38-53.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source medical-grade silicone supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a single-source, third-party supplier for medical-grade long-term implantable silicone, which is the primary raw material used in our Motiva Implants.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
9.8
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Peg Ratio
1.0
Ps
3.7
Analyst Target
4.0
PEG: 9.49Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.2
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.24Resistance $80.29

Price Targets

$74
$79
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESTA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $79.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $74.23. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the ESTA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.68 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $74.23. Stop-loss: $74.23.

What are the risks of investing in ESTA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source medical-grade silicone supplier; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.2% away).

Is ESTA overvalued or undervalued?

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 997.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESTA?

15 analysts cover ESTA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $90.

What does Establishment Labs Holdings Inc do?Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and...

Establishment Labs develops and commercializes Motiva silicone gel-filled breast implants for augmentation and reconstruction, registered in 100+ countries including the U.S. (FDA PMA approved September 2024). Revenue is predominantly from Motiva Implant sales; newer products include Mia Femtech (minimally invasive augmentation) and Preservé.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · PODD (Insulet Corporation) · AORT (Artivion, Inc.) · MASI (Masimo Corporation) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.)
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