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ESABESAB CorporationSell5.1·$91.57+2.71%
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ESAB Corporation (ESAB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $91.57: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (80.0%).

ESAB Corporation manufactures fabrication technology including welding/cutting consumables, equipment, gas control, and robotics, operating through Americas (40% of 2025 net sales) and EMEA & APAC (60%) segments. Approximately 80% of 2025 revenues came from international... Read more

$91.57+29.2% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 9 Metal Fabrication
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.36%
IncomeYield0.46%Payout10.58%sustainable
Stop $85.16Target $118.32(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$136.00+48.5%9 analysts
$118.32our TP
$91.57price
$136.00mean
$154

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $91.57: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (80.0%)
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$5.6B
EV/EBITDA12.4
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE11.4%
Rev Growth9.9%
Beta1.15
Dividend0.46%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C29.53bearish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational operations80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In the year ended December 31, 2025, we derived approximately 80% of our sales from operations outside of the United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    ESAB appointed R. Brent Jones as EVP and Chief Financial Officer effective early May 2026, to succeed the prior CFO as principal financial officer. Jones previously served as CFO of Avantor, Inc. No reason cited for prior CFO's departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
3.5
Value Rank
6.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
3.3
52w Position
3.3
Bollinger
3.4
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 46.0%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.19Resistance $96.25

Price Targets

$85
$118
A.Upside+29.2%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts16
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$136

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ESAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $91.57: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (80.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $85.16. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ESAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $118.32 (+29.2% upside). Prior stop was $85.16. Stop-loss: $85.16.

What are the risks of investing in ESAB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international operations (80.0%); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is ESAB overvalued or undervalued?

ESAB Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ESAB?

16 analysts cover ESAB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $136.

What does ESAB Corporation do?ESAB Corporation manufactures fabrication technology including welding/cutting consumables, equipment, gas control, and...

ESAB Corporation manufactures fabrication technology including welding/cutting consumables, equipment, gas control, and robotics, operating through Americas (40% of 2025 net sales) and EMEA & APAC (60%) segments. Approximately 80% of 2025 revenues came from international operations across ~150 countries, with ~10,300 employees.

Related stocks: MLI (Mueller Industries, Inc.) · GPGI (GPGI, Inc.) · CMC (Commercial Metals Company) · RYZ (Ryerson Holding Corporation) · CRS (Carpenter Technology Corporatio)
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