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ESEversource Energy (D/B/A)Sell5.4·$68.78-2.58%
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Eversource Energy (D/B/A) (ES) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut (CL&P), Massachusetts (NSTAR Electric), and New Hampshire (PSNH), plus electric transmission in New England. Revenue is set by state commissions (PURA, DPU,... Read more

$68.78+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.29%
IncomeYield4.63%(5y avg 3.86%)Payout65.20%
Stop $65.13Target $70.02(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$72.17+4.9%12 analysts
$70.02our TP
$68.78price
$72.17mean
$54
$85

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Eversource Energy (D/B/A)

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$25.6B
EV/EBITDA11.4
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta0.73
Dividend4.63%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatoryConnecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA)
    10-K Item 1: 'CL&P is subject to regulation by the Connecticut Public Utilities Regulatory Authority (PURA), which, among other things, has jurisdiction over rates'
  • MEDIUMregulatoryMassachusetts Department of Public Utilities (DPU)
    10-K Item 1: 'NSTAR Electric is subject to regulation by the Massachusetts Department of Public Utilities (DPU), which, among other things, has jurisdiction over rates'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $66.04Resistance $71.45

Price Targets

$65
$70
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $68.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $65.13. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $70.02 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $65.13. Stop-loss: $65.13.

What are the risks of investing in ES?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is ES overvalued or undervalued?

Eversource Energy (D/B/A) trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ES?

25 analysts cover ES with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Eversource Energy (D/B/A) do?Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut...

Eversource Energy is a regulated utility holding company delivering electricity to ~3.3M customers across Connecticut (CL&P), Massachusetts (NSTAR Electric), and New Hampshire (PSNH), plus electric transmission in New England. Revenue is set by state commissions (PURA, DPU, NHPUC) and FERC; natural gas distribution businesses were sold in July 2025.

Related stocks: PCG (Pacific Gas & Electric Co.) · PEG (Public Service Enterprise Group) · ELPC (Companhia Paranaense de Energia) · DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holdin) · NEE (NextEra Energy, Inc.)
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